Lagarto vs Barcelona de Ilhéus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Lagarto - Barcelona de Ilhéus
Result
2:0
19/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 13
Lagarto - Barcelona de Ilhéus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
310
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
310
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Thierry ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Luiz Silva D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lagarto
60.2%
Draw
24.8%
Barcelona de Ilhéus
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 25.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 25.2% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lagarto's performance.
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona de Ilhéus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lagarto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona de Ilhéus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lagarto - Barcelona de Ilhéus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.82)
    3.71
    (3.5)
    6.11
    (3.65)
    8.7%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Lagarto is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lagarto
    12.07.2025 Sergipe - Lagarto 1:2
    06.07.2025 Lagarto - Penedense 4:0
    16.06.2025 Lagarto - Jequié 2:1
    11.06.2025 Juazeirense - Lagarto 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0
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