Kärpät vs HPK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Kärpät - HPK
Result
0:3
22/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
Kärpät - HPK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.422.78
Shots on Goal
2726
Shots off Goal
1111
Shooting PCT
0% (0/27)11.54% (3/26)
Blocked Shots
1118
Goalkeeper Saves
2327
Saves PCT
88.46% (23/26)100% (27/27)
Penalties
43
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
2334
Faceoffs %
40.3559.65
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 03:26, 0 - 1, Tuulola E. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Rautiainen T. (A2)
  • 07:03, 0 - 2, Huttunen H. (G), Ketola J. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 05:56, Ravinskis A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 05:54, Virta P. (2 min),
  • 05:54, Jarvela J. (2 min),
  • 07:29, Tardif B. (2 min),
  • 08:40, 0 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Ketola J. (A), Ravinskis A. (A2)
  • 09:42, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
  • 11:10, Bjork M. (2 min),
  • 19:11, Turunen T. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Kärpät 59.6%Draw 20.5%HPK 19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Kärpät 56.7%Draw 21.1%HPK 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Kärpät 54.2%Draw 20.2%HPK 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kärpät that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Kärpät - HPK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.6)
    4.6
    (4.3)
    4.74
    (4.1)
    6.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Kärpät - HPK?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15 in the zone Liiga (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 4.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • HPK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently HPK have a series of home games.
    • In this match Kärpät is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 60:38 (average 3:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 34:16 (average 3.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HPK were as follows:
    13.12.2024 HPK - Kärpät 0:4
    23.11.2024 Kärpät - HPK 4:5
    02.10.2024 HPK - Kärpät 3:4
    21.02.2024 Kärpät - HPK 1:0
    20.01.2024 HPK - Kärpät 2:3
    Latest results of Kärpät
    18.01.2025 JYP - Kärpät 0:4
    17.01.2025 Kärpät - Kiekko-Espoo 1:4
    15.01.2025 Kärpät - Ässät 5:2
    11.01.2025 Pelicans - Kärpät 2:1
    10.01.2025 KooKoo - Kärpät 5:3
    Latest results of HPK
    18.01.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - HPK 0:3
    17.01.2025 HPK - TPS 1:5
    11.01.2025 HPK - JYP 3:2
    08.01.2025 HPK - Ässät 2:1
    04.01.2025 HPK - Lukko 3:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (2)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo (8)Tappara (9)2 : 3
    3KalPa (3)Bye
    4Assat (7)Hameenlinna (10)3 : 0
    5Lukko (1)Bye
    6KooKoo (6)Vaasan Sport (11)1 : 3
    7IFK Helsinki (4)Bye
    8SaiPa (5)TPS Turku (12)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (2)Tappara (9)4 : 0
    2KalPa (3)Assat (7)4 : 3
    3Lukko (1)Vaasan Sport (11)4 : 0
    4IFK Helsinki (4)SaiPa (5)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Ilves (2)KalPa (3)2 : 4
    2Lukko (1)SaiPa (5)2 : 4

    Final
    1KalPa (3)SaiPa (5)4 : 2

    3rd place
    2Lukko (1)Ilves (2)0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Kärpät - HPK?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
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