Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Opus Arena (Osijek).

: HNL - Round 34
Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	0.89
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
79% (278/354)	87% (421/483)
Yellow Cards
2	6
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.57	0.48
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
18	13
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
79% (278/354)	87% (421/483)
Long passes
33% (18/55)	50% (16/32)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)	77% (98/128)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	0% (0/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	1.08
Throw-ins
24	20
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
50% (10/20)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
40	47
Clearances
14	18
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.48	0.57
Goals prevented
-0.52	-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Babec H. ⚽, Omerovic N. (A),
19', Mersinaj J. 🟨,
25', Smakaj A. 🟨,
41', Zivkovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sigali L. ↓, Pajac M. ↑,
46', Vranjkovic M. ↓, Busnja D. ↑,
53', Andric K. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
68', Bukvic D. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
68', Hernani ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
72', Dajcer L. 🟨,
73', Gorican S. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
86', Fetai F. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
87', Pajac M. 🟨,
87', Soldo M. 🟨,
89', Babec H. ↓, Jelenic L. ↑,
89', Soldo M. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Susak M. ⚽, Busnja D. (A),
90+2', Katic I. 🟨,
90+5', Subaric Z. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Osijek
54.6%

Draw
25.1%

Lokomotiva Zagreb
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osijek's performance.

Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.96)	3.76 ↑ (3.25)	4.54 ↑ (4.04)	6.8% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Osijek will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Osijek will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 3.
Osijek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lokomotiva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Osijek is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E. (Ankle Injury) Matkovic A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lokomotiva: Karacic F. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Osijek: Mikolcic S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Osijek has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Osijek?

Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:

08.03.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek 3:0

08.12.2024 Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:0

22.09.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek 0:1

04.05.2024 Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:1

27.02.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek 1:0

Latest results of Osijek

04.05.2025 Slaven Belupo - Osijek 1:4 ✺

27.04.2025 Osijek - Hajduk Split 2:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Rijeka - Osijek 0:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Osijek - Gorica 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb

03.05.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 0:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb 2:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Šibenik 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo 0:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1 ✺

Croatian HNL Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rijeka	36	18	11	7	49:21	28	65
2	D. Zagreb	36	19	8	9	69:41	28	65
3	Hajduk Split	36	17	12	7	49:34	15	63
4	Varazdin	36	11	16	9	28:24	4	49
5	Slaven Belupo	36	13	9	14	42:45	-3	48
6	Istra 1961	36	11	15	10	39:42	-3	48
7	Osijek	36	11	9	16	46:52	-6	42
8	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	9	17	45:54	-9	39
9	Gorica	36	9	10	17	29:51	-22	37
10	Sibenik	36	7	9	20	28:60	-32	30

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Prva NL

Which TV channels are streaming of Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3