Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Bristol Rovers - Exeter City
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 42
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Bristol Rovers - Exeter City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
69% (268/386)68% (209/307)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.82
Total shots
155
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2316
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
69% (268/386)68% (209/307)
Long passes
41% (28/68)29% (24/84)
Passes in final third
53% (78/148)44% (40/91)
Crosses
29% (7/24)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.07
Fouls
1315
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6546
Clearances Total
1340
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.820.62
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ,
  • 32', McDonald K. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Cole R. , McMillan J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ward G. , Thomas L. ,
  • 46', Butcher M. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 56', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 58', Cole R. , Colwill J. ,
  • 58', McDonald K. , Woods R. ,
  • 58', Yogane T. , Harper V. ,
  • 69', Swinkels S. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 69', O'Donkor G. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Sotiriou R. ,
  • 74', Watts C. , Francis E. ,
  • 79', Whitworth J. 🟨,
  • 85', Cox S. , MacDonald A. ,
  • 87', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sawyers R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
42.9%
Draw
30%
Exeter City
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 26.9% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 24.9% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bristol Rovers - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (3.05)
    3.15
    (3.49)
    3.43
    (2.21)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Exeter City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DNB - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bristol Rovers will win (58 of 65 users predict this - 89.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.69%96.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
    • Bristol Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:35 (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Exeter City were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 3:1
    29.10.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 2:3
    03.02.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 0:1
    23.01.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 0:1
    29.12.2022 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 3:4
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Stockport County1264218:14422
    5AFC Wimbledon1271417:13422
    6Lincoln1163217:10721
    7Huddersfield1161417:13419
    8Bolton1245316:14217
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1252511:16-517
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Leyton Orient1242620:22-214
    14Northampton114258:10-214
    15Port Vale1234511:11013
    16Exeter1241712:13-113
    17Wigan1234515:17-213
    18Plymouth1141616:19-313
    19Wycombe1233614:15-112
    20Burton1133510:15-512
    21Reading1125412:16-411
    22Rotherham1132611:16-511
    23Blackpool1222810:20-108
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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