Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Ilves
15%
Draw
18.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 22% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 21.3% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.36
    (4.2)
    5.09
    (4.22)
    1.4
    (1.65)
    6.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-6. 2nd leg.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    Latest results of Ilves
    14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    05.07.2025 SJK - Ilves 1:1
    02.07.2025 Ilves - KTP Kotka 2:1
    28.06.2025 Haka - Ilves 0:4
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LuganoBye
    2PaksCFR Cluj0 : 0
    3Sabah BakuCelje2 : 3
    4AEK LarnacaPartizan1 : 0
    5Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva0 : 0
    6ByeBraga
    7OstravaBye
    8LegiaAktobe1 : 0
    9AnderlechtBye
    10TrnavaHacken0 : 1
    11Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina4 : 0
    12ByeUtrecht
    13MidtjyllandBye
    14ByeHibernian
    15BesiktasBye
    16Shakhtar DonetskIlves6 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1LuganoTBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Braga
    4OstravaTBD #8
    5AnderlechtTBD #10
    6TBD #11Utrecht
    7MidtjyllandHibernian
    8BesiktasTBD #16
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