Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion
Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.14
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (264/320)83% (320/387)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.84
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2526
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
148
Passes
83% (264/320)83% (320/387)
Long passes
50% (21/42)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
72% (92/127)71% (65/92)
Crosses
40% (6/15)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.28
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
814
Tackles
63% (10/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4931
Clearances
1113
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.841.40
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Fernandes L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 65', Pacius W. ↓, Wyke L. ↑,
  • 69', Tregarthen S. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
  • 69', Damus R. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
  • 69', Kavita P. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Martinez E. ⚽,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Trejo D. ⚽, Preston T. (A),
  • 78', Fernandes L. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 79', Pasher T. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
  • 89', Trejo D. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Niyongabire P. ⚽, Mustali E. (A),
  • 90+5', Preston T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Lasso F. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
54.5%		Draw
24.2%		Birmingham Legion
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 27.2% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham Legion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham Legion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↓
    (2.06)    		 3.84 ↑
    (3.4)    		 4.36 ↑
    (3.31)    		 7.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
    • Tampa Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    11.09.2024 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0
    11.05.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    08.05.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 6:4
    21.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 0:3
    15.07.2023 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    19.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 1:2
    16.04.2025 Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:2
    05.04.2025 Charleston Battery - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    27.04.2025 Birmingham Legion - Chattanooga Red Wolves 3:0
    19.04.2025 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    13.04.2025 Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive 3:1
    29.03.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion 2:0
    22.03.2025 Detroit City - Birmingham Legion 2:2
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1783626:24227
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1664614:14022
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1653816:24-818
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Tampa Bay16421017:25-814
    12Hartford Athletic1534815:21-613


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1685324:16829
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1581622:17525
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    8Orange County SC1562722:22020
    9Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    10Lexington1747617:23-619
    11Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518
    12Colorado Springs1646619:22-318

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