Flamengo vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Flamengo - Bayern Munich
Result
2:4
29/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
Flamengo - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.91
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
88% (402/459)86% (386/447)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.111.16
Total shots
128
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1623
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1918
Passes
88% (402/459)86% (386/447)
Long passes
54% (22/41)58% (22/38)
Passes in final third
69% (63/91)76% (104/137)
Crosses
38% (5/13)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.89
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1819
Tackles
60% (9/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
1414
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.161.11
Goals prevented
-1.84-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Pulgar E. (Own goal),
  • 9', 0 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Upamecano D. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Gerson ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 3, Goretzka L. ⚽,
  • 42', Pulgar E. 🟨,
  • 44', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 44', Plata G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Pulgar E. ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 45+3', Allan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 3, Jorginho (Pen),
  • 57', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
  • 58', Coman K. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
  • 59', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
  • 63', Wesley Franca 🟨,
  • 66', Kimmich J. 🟨,
  • 72', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
  • 73', 2 - 4, Kane H. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
  • 81', Jorginho ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
  • 81', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
  • 81', Gerson ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
  • 84', Kane H. 🟨,
  • 87', Musiala J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kane H. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
  • 90+3', Laimer K. ↓, Boey S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Flamengo
18.9%		Draw
24.5%		Bayern Munich
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 24.3% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 26.5% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
    •

    Flamengo - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.03 ↑
    (4.19)    		 3.92 ↓
    (3.92)    		 1.71 ↓
    (1.8)    		 4.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Flamengo - Bayern Munich?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Bayern (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
    • AH -0.5 - Bayern (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH +0.75 - Bayern (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (62 of 75 users predict this - 82.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.1% – 91.24%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayern is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Dier E. (Inactive) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Kim Min-Jae (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: de la Cruz N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Boey S. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Flamengo
    24.06.2025 Los Angeles - Flamengo 1:1 ✺
    20.06.2025 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1 ✺
    16.06.2025 Flamengo - Espérance ST 2:0 ✺
    01.06.2025 Flamengo - Fortaleza 5:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 Flamengo - Deportivo Táchira 1:0
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    24.06.2025 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0 ✺
    20.06.2025 Bayern Munich - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    15.06.2025 Bayern Munich - Auckland City 10:0 ✺
    17.05.2025 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    10.05.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)
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