Aarau vs Yverdon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Challenge League Aarau - Yverdon
Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenge League - Round 9
  • Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
Aarau - Yverdon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.28
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
78% (267/342)88% (376/429)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.04
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
78% (267/342)88% (376/429)
Long passes
40% (20/50)76% (35/46)
Passes in final third
61% (68/112)83% (86/104)
Crosses
13% (2/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.01
Throw-ins
2523
Fouls
1615
Tackles
65% (15/23)67% (6/9)
Duels won
5150
Clearances
1431
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.040.89
Goals prevented
-0.96-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Chappuis A. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Pasche E. , Sessolo H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Zoukit N. 🟨,
  • 63', Rodrigues M. , Lemina N. ,
  • 63', Camara S. , Weber P. ,
  • 70', Afriyie D. , Chacon T. ,
  • 70', Zoukit N. , Derbaci D. ,
  • 73', Filet E. 🟨,
  • 76', Filet E. , Koide H. ,
  • 78', Gnakpa J. 🟨,
  • 80', Sessolo H. 🟨,
  • 82', Marchesano A. , Sorgic D. ,
  • 87', Frokaj L. , Petit V. ,
  • 87', Kessler R. , Bobadilla R. ,
  • 87', Sorgic D. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Lemina N. , Sauthier A. (A),
  • 90+1', Sessolo H. , Saco C. ,
  • 90+1', Gnakpa J. , Tijani M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Fazliu V. , Derbaci D. (A),
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Tijani M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aarau
38.8%
Draw
28.5%
Yverdon
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 26.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 24.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aarau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Aarau - Yverdon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.16)
    3.43
    (3.51)
    2.99
    (3.02)
    2.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aarau - Yverdon?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Yverdon will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 2.
    • Aarau is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Yverdon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I. (Knee Injury) Jackle O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Yverdon: Tasar V. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aarau: Bobadilla R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Yverdon were as follows:
    23.05.2023 Yverdon - Aarau 1:1
    10.02.2023 Aarau - Yverdon 1:2
    04.11.2022 Aarau - Yverdon 3:2
    30.09.2022 Yverdon - Aarau 2:2
    Latest results of Aarau
    26.09.2025 Étoile Carouge - Aarau 1:3
    13.09.2025 Aarau - Vaduz 1:0
    29.08.2025 Rapperswil-Jona - Aarau 0:1
    25.08.2025 Aarau - Lausanne Ouchy 3:0
    22.08.2025 Stade Nyonnais - Aarau 4:5
    Latest results of Yverdon
    28.09.2025 Yverdon - Stade Nyonnais 1:0
    20.09.2025 Yverdon - Servette 1:0
    12.09.2025 Étoile Carouge - Yverdon 2:1
    31.08.2025 Yverdon - Neuchâtel Xamax 3:1
    26.08.2025 Bellinzona - Yverdon 0:0
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aarau980120:81224
    2Yverdon961218:81019
    3Vaduz953119:81118
    4Lausanne Ouchy943214:12215
    5Xamax942316:13314
    6Stade Nyonnais932413:15-211
    7Etoile-Carouge92259:12-38
    8Rapperswil-Jona92169:15-67
    9Wil91267:18-115
    10Bellinzona90455:21-164

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ Promotion League

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