Spain U21 vs Italy U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro U21
Soccer UEFA Euro U21 Spain U21 - Italy U21
Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro U21 - Round 3
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
Spain U21 - Italy U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.73
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Long passes
48% (21/44)47% (15/32)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)74% (75/101)
Crosses
31% (4/13)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.77
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1511
Tackles
56% (10/18)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
1517
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.730.69
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
  • 57', Fazzini J. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Pisilli N. ⚽, Ghilardi D. (A),
  • 65', Rodriguez J. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
  • 65', Marin P. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
  • 67', Pubill M. 🟨,
  • 74', Fazzini J. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
  • 74', Ambrosino G. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
  • 74', Moleiro A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
  • 74', Pubill M. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
  • 80', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
  • 84', Turicchia R. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
  • 84', Guarino G. ↓, Pirola L. ↑,
  • 90', Moro R. ↓, Tarrega C. ↑,
  • 90', Pisilli N. ↓, Prati M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Spain U21
49.6%		Draw
26.7%		Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.9% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Italy U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
    •

    Spain U21 - Italy U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.88 ↑
    (1.79)    		 3.53 ↓
    (3.65)    		 3.98 ↓
    (4.45)    		 6.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Spain U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Spain U21 will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Italy U21 will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain U21: 41.5% – 84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 2 - 50%). Italy U21 (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Italy U21 (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Spain U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 3.
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Spain U21 is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Spain U21
    14.06.2025 Spain U21 - Romania U21 2:1 ✺
    11.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Spain U21 2:3 ✺
    06.06.2025 Spain U21 - Ukraine U21 0:1
    25.03.2025 Germany U21 - Spain U21 3:1 ✺
    21.03.2025 Spain U21 - Czech Republic U21 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Italy U21
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1 ✺
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0 ✺
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    21.03.2025 Italy U21 - Netherlands U21 1:2
    19.11.2024 Italy U21 - Ukraine U21 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Finland U2100000:000
    2Spain U2100000:000
    3San Marino U2100000:000
    4Romania U2100000:000
    5Cyprus U2100000:000
    6Kosovo U2100000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Scotland U2100000:000
    2Bulgaria U2100000:000
    3Portugal U2100000:000
    4Azerbaijan U2100000:000
    5Czech Republic U2100000:000
    6Gibraltar U2100000:000


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Faroe Islands U2111002:113
    2France U2100000:000
    3Luxembourg U2100000:000
    4Iceland U2100000:000
    5Switzerland U2100000:000
    6Estonia U2110011:2-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moldova U2111003:033
    2Kazakhstan U2111001:013
    3Ireland U2100000:000
    4Slovakia U2100000:000
    5England U2100000:000
    6Andorra U2120020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Italy U2100000:000
    2North Macedonia U2100000:000
    3Montenegro U2100000:000
    4Poland U2100000:000
    5Sweden U2100000:000
    6Armenia U2100000:000


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Georgia U2100000:000
    2Malta U2100000:000
    3Germany U2100000:000
    4Northern Ireland U2100000:000
    5Latvia U2100000:000
    6Greece U2100000:000


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slovenia U2100000:000
    2Netherlands U2100000:000
    3Norway U2100000:000
    4Israel U2100000:000
    5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2100000:000


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Croatia U2100000:000
    2Hungary U2100000:000
    3Turkey U2100000:000
    4Lithuania U2100000:000
    5Ukraine U2100000:000


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Denmark U2100000:000
    2Belgium U2100000:000
    3Austria U2100000:000
    4Belarus U2100000:000
    5Wales U2100000:000


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bulgaria U2100000:000
    2Kazakhstan U2100000:000
    3Spain U2100000:000
    4Belgium U2100000:000
    5France U2100000:000
    6Malta U2100000:000
    7Netherlands U2100000:000
    8Hungary U2100000:000
    9North Macedonia U2100000:000

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