Spain U21 vs Italy U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Euro U21 Spain U21 - Italy U21
Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro U21 - Round 3
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
Spain U21 - Italy U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.73
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Long passes
48% (21/44)47% (15/32)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)74% (75/101)
Crosses
31% (4/13)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.77
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1511
Tackles
56% (10/18)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
1517
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.730.69
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. , Moro R. (A),
  • 57', Fazzini J. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Pisilli N. , Ghilardi D. (A),
  • 65', Rodriguez J. , Guerra J. ,
  • 65', Marin P. , Lopez D. ,
  • 67', Pubill M. 🟨,
  • 74', Fazzini J. , Casadei C. ,
  • 74', Ambrosino G. , Gnonto W. ,
  • 74', Moleiro A. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 74', Pubill M. , Torre P. ,
  • 80', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
  • 84', Turicchia R. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 84', Guarino G. , Pirola L. ,
  • 90', Moro R. , Tarrega C. ,
  • 90', Pisilli N. , Prati M. ,

Chances of winning


Spain U21
49.6%
Draw
26.7%
Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.9% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Italy U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Spain U21 - Italy U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.79)
    3.53
    (3.65)
    3.98
    (4.45)
    6.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Spain U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Spain U21 will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Italy U21 will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain U21: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 2 - 50%). Italy U21 (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Italy U21 (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Spain U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 3.
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Spain U21 is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Spain U21
    14.06.2025 Spain U21 - Romania U21 2:1
    11.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Spain U21 2:3
    06.06.2025 Spain U21 - Ukraine U21 0:1
    25.03.2025 Germany U21 - Spain U21 3:1
    Latest results of Italy U21
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    19.11.2024 Italy U21 - Ukraine U21 2:2
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Finland U21220012:0126
    2Spain U2122006:156
    3Romania U2121102:024
    4Kosovo U2120111:3-21
    5Cyprus U2120020:8-80
    6San Marino U2120020:9-90


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal U2122007:076
    2Czech Republic U2122004:136
    3Bulgaria U2121104:134
    4Azerbaijan U2120111:6-51
    5Gibraltar U2120021:5-40
    6Scotland U2120020:4-40


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Faroe Islands U2133005:239
    2Switzerland U2111002:023
    3Iceland U2120112:3-11
    4Estonia U2130122:5-31
    5France U2100000:000
    6Luxembourg U2110010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slovakia U2122006:246
    2Ireland U2122003:126
    3England U2111002:023
    4Moldova U2131026:513
    5Kazakhstan U2121011:2-13
    6Andorra U2140040:8-80


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Poland U2122007:076
    2Italy U2122003:126
    3Montenegro U2121013:213
    4Sweden U2121013:213
    5North Macedonia U2120020:4-40
    6Armenia U2120020:7-70


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Germany U2111005:053
    2Greece U2111005:053
    3Northern Ireland U2110101:101
    4Georgia U2110101:101
    5Malta U2110010:5-50
    6Latvia U2110010:5-50


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway U2111005:053
    2Israel U2120202:202
    3Netherlands U2110102:201
    4Bosnia & Herzegovina U2110100:001
    5Slovenia U2110010:5-50


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ukraine U2111004:043
    2Croatia U2110101:101
    3Hungary U2110101:101
    4Turkey U2110101:101
    5Lithuania U2120111:5-41


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Denmark U2111006:243
    2Austria U2111003:213
    3Belgium U2110101:101
    4Belarus U2120113:4-11
    5Wales U2110012:6-40


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain U2122006:156
    2Italy U2122003:126
    3Greece U2111005:053
    4Switzerland U2111002:023
    5Austria U2111003:213
    6Ireland U2111002:113
    7Czech Republic U2111002:113
    8Israel U2120202:202
    9Croatia U2110101:101

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