France U21 vs Poland U21: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro U21
Soccer UEFA Euro U21 France U21 - Poland U21
Result
4:1
17/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro U21 - Round 3
  • Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
France U21 - Poland U21 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.50
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
248
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (514/585)79% (246/310)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.891.08
Total shots
248
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3628
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
88% (514/585)79% (246/310)
Long passes
41% (12/29)66% (23/35)
Passes in final third
76% (100/132)58% (32/55)
Crosses
32% (6/19)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.612.11
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1216
Tackles
71% (15/21)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6349
Clearances
1623
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.082.89
Goals prevented
0.08-1.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Zeze N. ⚽, Cisse D. (A),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Cisse D. ⚽,
  • 19', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
  • 29', 3 - 0, Cisse D. ⚽, Tchaouna L. (A),
  • 37', Kozubal A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kozubal A. ↓, Kowalczyk M. ↑,
  • 46', Peda P. ↓, Matysik M. ↑,
  • 58', Kozlowski K. 🟨,
  • 60', Agoume L. 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Mosor A. ⚽, Kaluzinski J. (A),
  • 62', Kaluzinski J. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
  • 65', Bejger L. 🟨,
  • 69', Tchaouna L. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
  • 69', Bahoya J. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
  • 69', Agoume L. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
  • 75', Legowski M. 🟨,
  • 78', Kowalczyk M. 🟨,
  • 79', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
  • 79', Barry T. ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Edjouma N. (A),
  • 87', Sildillia K. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
  • 87', Bejger L. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
  • 90+1', Lemarechal F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


France U21
74.9%		Draw
16%		Poland U21
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77% 14.6% 8.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • France U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Poland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
    •

    France U21 - Poland U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.26 ↑
    (1.22)    		 5.92 ↓
    (6.42)    		 10.29 ↓
    (11.18)    		 6.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for France U21 - Poland U21?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. France U21 will win (votes: 22 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for France U21: 100% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): France U21 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Poland U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, France U21 is the clear favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of France U21
    14.06.2025 France U21 - Georgia U21 3:2 ✺
    11.06.2025 Portugal U21 - France U21 0:0 ✺
    04.06.2025 France U21 - Uzbekistan U23 2:1
    04.06.2025 France U21 - Uzbekistan U21 Canceled
    24.03.2025 Slovakia U21 - France U21 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Poland U21
    14.06.2025 Portugal U21 - Poland U21 5:0 ✺
    11.06.2025 Poland U21 - Georgia U21 1:2 ✺
    25.03.2025 Poland U21 - Ukraine U21 3:2
    20.03.2025 Denmark U21 - Poland U21 3:3
    17.11.2024 Poland U21 - Iceland U21 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Finland U2111007:073
    2Spain U2111003:033
    3Romania U2110100:001
    4Kosovo U2110100:001
    5Cyprus U2110010:3-30
    6San Marino U2110010:7-70


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal U2111005:053
    2Bulgaria U2111003:033
    3Czech Republic U2111002:023
    4Scotland U2110010:2-20
    5Gibraltar U2110010:3-30
    6Azerbaijan U2110010:5-50


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Faroe Islands U2122004:226
    2Switzerland U2111002:023
    3France U2100000:000
    4Luxembourg U2100000:000
    5Iceland U2110011:2-10
    6Estonia U2120021:4-30


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slovakia U2111003:033
    2Moldova U2121014:223
    3Ireland U2111002:113
    4Kazakhstan U2111001:013
    5England U2100000:000
    6Andorra U2130030:7-70


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Poland U2111003:033
    2Sweden U2111003:033
    3Italy U2111002:113
    4Montenegro U2110011:2-10
    5North Macedonia U2110010:3-30
    6Armenia U2110010:3-30


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Georgia U2100000:000
    2Malta U2100000:000
    3Germany U2100000:000
    4Northern Ireland U2100000:000
    5Latvia U2100000:000
    6Greece U2100000:000


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Israel U2110100:001
    2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2110100:001
    3Slovenia U2100000:000
    4Netherlands U2100000:000
    5Norway U2100000:000


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ukraine U2111004:043
    2Croatia U2100000:000
    3Hungary U2100000:000
    4Turkey U2100000:000
    5Lithuania U2110010:4-40


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgium U2110101:101
    2Belarus U2110101:101
    3Denmark U2100000:000
    4Austria U2100000:000
    5Wales U2100000:000


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bulgaria U2111003:033
    2Spain U2111003:033
    3Belarus U2110101:101
    4Bosnia & Herzegovina U2110100:001
    5Malta U2100000:000
    6Croatia U2100000:000
    7Sweden U2100000:000
    8Switzerland U2100000:000
    9Moldova U2110011:2-10

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