Palmeiras vs Al Ahly Cairo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ).

: FIFA Club World Cup - Round 2
Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.58	0.22
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
78% (184/236)	89% (416/465)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	0.11
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
16	15
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
78% (184/236)	89% (416/465)
Long passes
40% (17/42)	48% (16/33)
Passes in final third
63% (50/79)	74% (70/94)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.48
Throw-ins
15	13
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
56% (5/9)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
40	34
Clearances
16	21
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.11	0.64
Goals prevented
0.11	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
42', Fathy H. 🟨,
43', Giay A. 🟨,
45+3', Attiyat Allah Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Raphael Veiga ↓, Mauricio ↑,
46', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Abou Ali W. (Own goal),
59', 2 - 0, Flaco Lopez ⚽, Mauricio (A),
62', Trezeguet ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
62', Fathy H. ↓, Afsha ↑,
62', Dari A. ↓, Mohamed A. R. ↑,
62', Abou Ali W. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
67', Moreno A. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
75', Piquerez J. 🟨,
76', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
76', Estevao ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
79', Ateya M. 🟨,
87', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
90+6', Rios R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Palmeiras
61.8%

Draw
23.4%

Al Ahly Cairo
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

26.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	4.09 ↑ (3.84)	6.46 ↑ (5.22)	3.6% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Palmeiras (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

AH -1 - Palmeiras (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

AH -0.75 - Palmeiras (votes: 7 - 100%).

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (60 of 66 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.97% – 97.85%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In recent matches, Palmeiras has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al Ahly is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Al Ahly: Ashour E. (Collarbone injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Palmeiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Al Ahly Cairo?

Palmeiras has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Palmeiras?

Al Ahly Cairo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:

Latest results of Palmeiras

15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal 6:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:2 ✺

22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo

14.06.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Inter Miami 0:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Pachuca 1:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Pharco 6:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt 2:1 ✺

13.05.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra - Al Ahly Cairo 0:1 ✺

FIFA Club World Cup Table

Main

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palmeiras	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
2	Inter Miami	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	FC Porto	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
4	Al Ahly	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
2	Botafogo RJ	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
3	Seattle Sounders	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
4	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Group C

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	10:0	10	3
2	Benfica	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
3	Boca Juniors	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
4	Auckland City	1	0	0	1	0:10	-10	0

Group D

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
3	Esperance Tunis	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
4	Los Angeles FC	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Group E

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	River Plate	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
2	Monterrey	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
3	Inter	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
4	Urawa Reds	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Group F

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
2	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
3	Fluminense	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
4	Ulsan HD	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Group G

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5:0	5	3
2	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
3	Wydad	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
4	Al Ain	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Group H

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
2	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
3	Al Hilal	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
4	Pachuca	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Promotion ~ FIFA Club World Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 3, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2, SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Asia	Q Arena Asia
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Rede Globo, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TD +, TDMAX
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Egypt	MBC Masr 2, On Time Sports 1
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Duna World / M4 Sport +
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, TVI Player, TVI
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 Extra