Ferroviária vs América Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - América Mineiro
Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 30
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
Ferroviária - América Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.66
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
80% (295/370)79% (244/309)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.552.19
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
80% (295/370)79% (244/309)
Long passes
56% (29/52)59% (29/49)
Passes in final third
69% (74/108)63% (55/88)
Crosses
32% (7/22)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.73
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1311
Tackles
58% (11/19)40% (6/15)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.190.55
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel ,
  • 24', Juninho , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 27', Alencar 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Maguinho , Paulinho (A),
  • 33', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Ze Mario 🟨,
  • 59', Alencar , Thiago Lopes ,
  • 59', Ze Mario , Edson Lucas ,
  • 60', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
  • 62', Miguelito 🟨,
  • 62', Miguelito , Fabinho ,
  • 71', Willian Bigode , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 71', Yago Souza , Ortiz C. ,
  • 78', Vitor Barreto , Ze Hugo ,
  • 78', Fabricio Daniel , Albano ,
  • 84', Felipe Amaral , Aloisio ,
  • 84', Kaua Diniz , Miqueias ,
  • 87', Netinho 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Lucao , Ortiz C. (A),
  • 90+5', Edson Lucas 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Fabinho (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
36.8%
Draw
31%
América Mineiro
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 28.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29.5% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Ferroviária - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.27)
    2.99
    (3.27)
    2.89
    (3.1)
    7.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - América Mineiro were as follows:
    07.06.2025 América Mineiro - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    28.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Ferroviária 1:2
    23.09.2025 Ferroviária - Goiás 1:1
    20.09.2025 Avaí - Ferroviária 2:2
    05.09.2025 Coritiba - Ferroviária 4:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias31149835:28751
    3Criciuma31148940:281250
    4Athletico-PR301461043:39448
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7CRB311441336:31546
    8Cuiaba301210837:34346
    9Atletico GO301112734:28645
    10Remo301112734:28645
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR301091131:29239
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Botafogo SP31881526:46-2032
    18Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    19Amazonas317101433:47-1431
    20Paysandu PA315111526:37-1126

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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    It is being streamed on channel
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