Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 30
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.96 | 1.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (295/370) | 79% (244/309) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.96 | 1.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.55 | 2.19 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (295/370) | 79% (244/309) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (29/52) | 59% (29/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (74/108) | 63% (55/88) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (7/22) | 44% (8/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (11/19) | 40% (6/15) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.19 | 0.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.81 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel ⚽,
- 24', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 27', Alencar 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Maguinho ⚽, Paulinho (A),
- 33', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 59', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 59', Ze Mario ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
- 60', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
- 62', Miguelito 🟨,
- 62', Miguelito ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 71', Willian Bigode ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 71', Yago Souza ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 78', Vitor Barreto ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 78', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Albano ↑,
- 84', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
- 84', Kaua Diniz ↓, Miqueias ↑,
- 87', Netinho 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Lucao ⚽, Ortiz C. (A),
- 90+5', Edson Lucas 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Fabinho (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária 36.8% | Draw 31% | América Mineiro 32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
Ferroviária - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↑ (2.27) |
2.99 ↓ (3.27) |
2.89 ↓ (3.1) |
7.6% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against América Mineiro?
Ferroviária has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Ferroviária?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - América Mineiro were as follows:
07.06.2025
América Mineiro
-
Ferroviária
1:2
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
2 | Goias | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 35:28 | 7 | 51 |
3 | Criciuma | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40:28 | 12 | 50 |
4 | Athletico-PR | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 48 |
5 | Chapecoense-SC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 42:30 | 12 | 47 |
6 | Novorizontino | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
7 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36:31 | 5 | 46 |
8 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
9 | Atletico GO | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 45 |
10 | Remo | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 45 |
11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
12 | Operario-PR | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
14 | America MG | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
15 | Ferroviaria | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
17 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 32 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 31 |
19 | Amazonas | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 33:47 | -14 | 31 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Ferroviária - América Mineiro?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |