River Plate Montevideo vs Danubio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division River Plate Montevideo - Danubio
Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Rodriguez D. (Uru)
River Plate Montevideo - Danubio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
38
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
02
Total shots
38
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
16
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Alfonso M. 🟨,
  • 28', Rabino R. 🟨,
  • 34', Sosa L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
  • 63', Alfonso M. , Jourdan E. ,
  • 66', Peralta M. , Sanseviero L. ,
  • 66', Velazquez A. , Cardozo E. ,
  • 66', Lopez I. , Orono G. ,
  • 66', Vera A. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 66', Barone F. , Correa T. ,
  • 68', Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 71', Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 80', Pintos I. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 80', Nunez S. , Azambuja N. ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Quintana J. ,
  • 83', Femia E. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 85', Romero S. 🟥,
  • 86', De Los Santos J. 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Quintana J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
30.5%
Draw
30.4%
Danubio
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 30.7% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 29.8% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.95)
    3.05
    (3.04)
    2.39
    (2.48)
    7.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches River Plate won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:23 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Danubio - River Plate Montevideo 3:0
    02.03.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Danubio 1:0
    11.11.2023 Danubio - River Plate Montevideo 0:0
    22.07.2023 Danubio - River Plate Montevideo 0:0
    31.03.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Danubio 2:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Torneo Intermedio

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol751115:51016
    2Defensor Sp742112:10214
    3Wanderers73316:5112
    4Plaza Colonia71516:7-18
    5Liverpool M722310:12-28
    6CA Cerro72237:9-28
    7River Plate61144:8-44
    8Cerro Largo60245:9-42


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional660013:4918
    2Racing Montevideo640210:5512
    3Juventud640212:11112
    4Danubio63129:8110
    5Boston River72148:12-47
    6Progreso62044:8-46
    7Montevideo City61149:11-24
    8Miramar71152:8-64

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )

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