Portland Hearts of Pine vs Naples: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL League One Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.57
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
84% (386/459)59% (96/164)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.75
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
84% (386/459)59% (96/164)
Long passes
40% (17/42)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
68% (92/136)48% (25/52)
Crosses
24% (5/21)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.80
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
2118
Tackles
71% (5/7)63% (15/24)
Duels won
4361
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.750.70
Goals prevented
-0.25-1.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Serrano J. 🟥,
  • 10', Cerro I. , Halterman A. ,
  • 26', Lopez M. , Kamara J. ,
  • 30', Heckenberg C. 🟨,
  • 40', Vinberg S. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Kamara J. ,
  • 45', Henderlong K. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Fernandes G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mahlamaki S. , Langlois P. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Prpa L. ,
  • 58', Morse H. 🟨,
  • 60', Messer N. 🟨,
  • 67', Reilly M. , Quinones C. ,
  • 68', Wright O. , Liadi A. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Varela W. ,
  • 75', O'Connor K. , Torrellas M. ,
  • 77', Henderlong K. 🟨,
  • 82', Fernandes G. , Sulia R. ,
  • 82', Prpa L. , Garrett I. ,
  • 82', Heckenberg C. , Rubinstein R. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
42.3%
Draw
30.8%
Naples
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 29.5% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 28.2% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naples might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.45)
    3
    (3.1)
    3.42
    (2.75)
    8.3%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Hearts of Pine has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Naples has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Naples may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Naples
    03.05.2025 AV Alta - Naples Postponed
    19.04.2025 Naples - One Knoxville 0:1
    16.04.2025 Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity962117:61120
    2Charlotte Independ852115:10517
    3FC Naples942311:8314
    4One Knoxville73319:7212
    5Richmond Kickers1033417:16112
    6Chattanooga Red Wolves72419:7210
    7Greenville823310:12-29
    8AV Alta72239:11-28
    9Forward Madison71516:7-18
    10Tormenta721411:14-37
    11Portland Hearts of Pine61416:607
    12Westchester SC713312:15-36
    13Union Omaha61236:9-35
    14Texoma81258:18-105

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples?
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