Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Guangdong GZ-Power: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing).

: Jia League - Round 23

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.31
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
85% (350/413)	79% (282/357)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.39	0.18
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
18	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
85% (350/413)	79% (282/357)
Long passes
43% (16/37)	43% (29/67)
Passes in final third
78% (124/159)	52% (44/85)
Crosses
12% (4/33)	67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	0.57
Throw-ins
21	18
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
67% (12/18)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
38	40
Clearances
8	27
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.18	1.39
Goals prevented
-0.82	1.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Xia Dalong ⚽, Farley Rosa (A),
20', Duan Yunzi 🟨,
45+2', Wang Chien-Ming 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
67', Duan Yunzi ↓, Cai Haochang ↑,
67', Farley Rosa ↓, Ma Junliang ↑,
75', Zhang Yingkai ↓, Huang X. ↑,
80', Xiang Yuwang (Pen),
83', Nikao 🟨,
83', Xia Dalong ↓, Tu Dongxu ↑,
83', Nikao ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
89', Ruan Qilong ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
90+2', Hou Yu ↓, Zeng Chao ↑,

Chances of winning

Chongqing Tongliang Long
43.9%

Draw
27.8%

Guangdong GZ-Power
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chongqing Tongliang Long's form might have worsened.

Guangdong GZ-Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong GZ-Power's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong GZ-Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.66)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	3.54 ↓ (4.64)	-0.1% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 3).
Chongqing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Guangdong GZ-Power is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Guangdong GZ-Power may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Chongqing Tongliang Long won against Guangdong GZ-Power?

Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong GZ-Power won against Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Guangdong GZ-Power has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power were as follows:

10.05.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Chongqing Tongliang Long 1:5

Latest results of Chongqing Tongliang Long

14.09.2025 Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long 3:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nantong Zhiyun 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Shaanxi Union - Chongqing Tongliang Long 0:3 ✺

26.07.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Juniors 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Guangdong GZ-Power

13.09.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 2:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Shaanxi Union - Guangdong GZ-Power 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Foshan Nanshi - Guangdong GZ-Power 2:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Guangdong GZ-Power 2:2 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	23	15	6	2	50:25	25	51
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	23	14	4	5	44:27	17	46
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	23	13	4	6	38:27	11	43
4	Yanbian Longding	23	11	6	6	25:20	5	39
5	Nantong Zhiyun	23	10	5	8	31:23	8	35
6	Dingnan Ganlian	23	9	8	6	34:28	6	35
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	23	9	8	6	31:26	5	35
8	Dalian K'un City	23	9	8	6	31:27	4	35
9	Nanjing City	23	7	8	8	31:31	0	29
10	Shaanxi Union	23	7	6	10	32:36	-4	27
11	Suzhou Dongwu	23	6	9	8	20:24	-4	27
12	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	23	7	5	11	19:29	-10	26
13	Shenzhen Juniors	23	7	2	14	31:48	-17	23
14	Foshan Nanshi	23	5	7	11	21:35	-14	22
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	23	4	6	13	17:32	-15	18
16	Qingdao Red Lions	23	2	6	15	13:30	-17	12

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League

Which TV channels are streaming of Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8