Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou Professional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Huadu Stadium (Guangzhou).

: Yi League - Round 19

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.41
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
72% (247/344)	80% (334/418)
Yellow Cards
3	7
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	1.11
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
24	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
21	17
Passes
72% (247/344)	80% (334/418)
Long passes
37% (26/71)	59% (44/75)
Passes in final third
62% (73/118)	62% (69/112)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	0.54
Throw-ins
26	20
Fouls
17	21
Tackles
64% (14/22)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
66	57
Clearances
23	34
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.11	1.13
Goals prevented
-0.89	0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Liu Ziheng ⚽, Gu Zhiwei (A),
21', Han Tianlin 🟨,
22', Gu Zhiwei 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Ruan Sai ⚽, Muhta M. (A),
45+4', Lu Jiabin 🟨,
45+4', Liu Jing 🟨,
45+7', Tian Jiarui 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Han Tianlin ↓, Wang G. ↑,
46', Kurban I. ↓, Wang Qihong ↑,
57', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
62', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
62', Liu Ziheng ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
62', Huang Guangliang ↓, Tang Wenxuan ↑,
64', Tian Jiarui ↓, Liu Fanyi ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Muhta M. (Pen),
78', Zhu X. ↓, Tang Tianyi ↑,
80', Ruan Sai ↓, Lu Shihao ↑,
83', Tang Wenxuan 🟨,
84', Zheng Zhiming ↓, Peng Jiahao ↑,
86', He J. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
89', Lu Y. ↓, Tash M. ↑,
90+10', Wang Qihong 🟨,
90+11', Jin Yunchao 🟨,
90+13', Jin Yunchao 🟨,
90+17', Lu Jiabin ↓, Sun Weikai ↑,

Chances of winning

Guangdong Mingtu
31.7%

Draw
29.9%

Wenzhou Professional
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

31.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

29.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.25)	3.06 ↑ (2.92)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)	9.5% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangdong Mingtu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wenzhou's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Wenzhou is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Wenzhou Professional?

Guangdong Mingtu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wenzhou Professional won against Guangdong Mingtu?

Wenzhou Professional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional were as follows:

07.05.2025 Wenzhou Professional - Guangdong Mingtu 1:1

Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu

05.07.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu 1:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B 2:3 ✺

27.06.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Quanzhou Yassin 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangdong Mingtu 3:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Wenzhou Professional

06.07.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Wenzhou Professional 2:2 ✺

02.07.2025 Wenzhou Professional - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

28.06.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Wenzhou Professional 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Wenzhou Professional - Wuhan Three Towns B 1:1 ✺

17.06.2025 Quanzhou Yassin - Wenzhou Professional 0:0 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

Main

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	22	13	6	3	31:14	17	45
2	Shandong Taishan B	22	10	9	3	36:22	14	39
3	Nantong Haimen	22	10	8	4	38:24	14	38
4	Changchun Xidu	22	10	8	4	19:11	8	38
5	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:22	3	35
6	Hangzhou Linping	22	8	8	6	24:26	-2	32
7	Taian Tiankuang	22	7	5	10	22:25	-3	26
8	Shanghai Port B	22	6	7	9	25:26	-1	25
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	5	8	9	17:32	-15	23
10	Lanzhou Longyuan	22	5	7	10	21:32	-11	22
11	Beijing Technology	22	5	2	15	21:29	-8	17
12	Hubei Istar	22	3	7	12	23:39	-16	16

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	22	18	3	1	47:9	38	57
2	Shenzhen	22	14	6	2	30:13	17	48
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	22	12	4	6	39:20	19	40
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	22	12	3	7	33:25	8	39
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	11	5	6	31:18	13	38
6	Wuhan Three Towns B	22	8	5	9	21:20	1	29
7	Wenzhou Professional	22	6	8	8	21:27	-6	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	4	11	7	18:28	-10	23
9	Guangdong Mingtu	22	4	8	10	20:32	-12	20
10	Kunming City Star	22	4	7	11	15:31	-16	19
11	Quanzhou Yassin	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15
12	Guangxi Lanhang	22	0	6	16	10:45	-35	6

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: