Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista-Agut: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Roma Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut
Result
0:2
08/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals
Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
64%68%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (22/35)63% (33/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
25% (5/20)54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
37% (19/52)37% (13/35)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (11/24)75% (15/20)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)50% (4/8)
Winners
2120
Unforced Errors
3027
Net Points Won
78% (7/9)89% (16/18)
Service Points Won
49% (27/55)61% (46/76)
Return Points Won
39% (30/76)51% (28/55)
Total Points Won
44% (57/131)56% (74/131)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
74.6%
Roberto Bautista-Agut
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.41)

    3.72
    (2.97)
    4.8%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 37. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 56.
    • Arnaldi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bautista-Agut's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bautista-Agut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Arnaldi is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Navone M.Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (LL)Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (25)
    5Cerundolo F. (17)Bye
    6Gaston H.Jarry N.0 : 2
    7Carballes Baena R. (RET.)Ofner S. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeTiafoe F. (15)
    9Shelton B. (12)Bye
    10Barrios Vera T. (Q)Munar J.1 : 2
    11Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeKorda S. (22)
    13Berrettini M. (29)Bye
    14Fearnley J.Fognini F. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bublik A.Safiullin R.2 : 0
    16ByeRuud C. (6)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Diallo G.Giron M.1 : 2
    19Bellucci M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    20ByeHurkacz H. (30)
    21Mensik J. (20)Bye
    22Rinderknech A.Gigante M. (WC)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Fonseca J.2 : 0
    24ByeRublev A. (16)
    25Paul T. (11)Bye
    26Arnaldi M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    27Tien L.Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    28ByeMachac T. (19)
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (26)Bye
    30Borges N.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)1 : 2
    31Nardi L. (WC)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    33Draper J. (5)Bye
    34Bu Y.Darderi L.0 : 2
    35Kopriva V. (Q)Halys Q.2 : 0
    36ByeBaez S. (32)
    37Humbert U. (21)Bye
    38Hijikata R.Moutet C.1 : 2
    39Altmaier D.Comesana F.0 : 2
    40ByeRune H. (9)
    41Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    42Passaro F. (WC)Tseng C. H. (Q)2 : 1
    43Sonego L.Burruchaga R. A. (Q)0 : 2
    44ByeKhachanov K. (23)
    45Michelsen A. (31)Bye
    46Djere L.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    47Nishioka Y.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeAlcaraz C. (3)
    49Musetti L. (8)Bye
    50Medjedovic H.Virtanen O. (Q)0 : 2
    51Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    52ByeNakashima B. (28)
    53Popyrin A. (24)Bye
    54Taberner C. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    55O'Connell C.Norrie C. (LL)0 : 2
    56ByeMedvedev D. (10)
    57Fils A. (13)Bye
    58Griekspoor T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    59Lehecka J.Muller A.1 : 2
    60ByeTsitsipas S. (18)
    61Shapovalov D. (27)Bye
    62Gaubas V. (Q)Dzumhur D.2 : 1
    63Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno-Busta P. (LL)2 : 1
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Navone M.
    2De Jong J.Davidovich Fokina A. (25)
    3Cerundolo F. (17)Jarry N.
    4Ofner S.Tiafoe F. (15)
    5Shelton B. (12)Munar J.
    6Vukic A.Korda S. (22)
    7Berrettini M. (29)Fearnley J.
    8Bublik A.Ruud C. (6)
    9Fritz T. (4)Giron M.
    10Martinez P.Hurkacz H. (30)
    11Mensik J. (20)Gigante M.
    12Marozsan F.Rublev A. (16)
    13Paul T. (11)Bautista-Agut R.
    14Tien L.Machac T. (19)
    15Auger-Aliassime F. (26)Seyboth Wild T.
    16Nardi L.De Minaur A. (7)
    17Draper J. (5)Darderi L.
    18Kopriva V.Baez S. (32)
    19Humbert U. (21)Moutet C.
    20Comesana F.Rune H. (9)
    21Dimitrov G. (14)Passaro F.
    22Burruchaga R. A.Khachanov K. (23)
    23Michelsen A. (31)Djere L.
    24Lajovic D.Alcaraz C. (3)
    25Musetti L. (8)Virtanen O.
    26Thompson J.Nakashima B. (28)
    27Popyrin A. (24)Taberner C.
    28Norrie C.Medvedev D. (10)
    29Fils A. (13)Griekspoor T.
    30Muller A.Tsitsipas S. (18)
    31Shapovalov D. (27)Gaubas V.
    32Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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