Result
2:3
16/09/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 26
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (359/432) | 77% (244/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (359/432) | 77% (244/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 27% (16/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/110) | 69% (58/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 37', Bruno Matias ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 38', Leo Vieira 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Viveros K. (Pen),
- 44', Patrick 🟨,
- 45+1', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 45+8', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 46', Everton ↓, Italo ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Eduardo Doma ⚽, Rafael Carvalheira (A),
- 53', 2 - 1, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Italo (A),
- 57', 2 - 2, Leo Derik ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 62', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 62', Mendoza S. ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 72', 2 - 3, Viveros K. ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 75', Bressan ↓, Bruno Leonardo ↑,
- 79', Viveros K. ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 87', Leo Derik ↓, Leo ↑,
- 88', Zapelli B. ↓, Raul ↑,
- 90', Joao Paulo ↓, Mailson ↑,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
33.8% | Draw
29.7% | Athletico Paranaense
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletico Paranaense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.41) |
3.11 ↑
(2.99) |
2.56 ↓
(3) |
7.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.
- Chapecoense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Athletico PR has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Athletico Paranaense?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Chapecoense?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
08.05.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Chapecoense
1:1
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 38:27 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 39 |
| 7 | Remo | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | CRB | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 28:23 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Avai | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 29:28 | 1 | 35 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | America MG | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
