Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/07/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou).

: Yi League - Round 18

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.10
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
86% (325/380)	87% (400/458)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.06	1.12
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
17	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
86% (325/380)	87% (400/458)
Long passes
23% (10/43)	36% (10/28)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)	68% (91/133)
Crosses
62% (8/13)	5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.30
Throw-ins
10	18
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
63% (12/19)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
41	45
Clearances
27	14
Interceptions
12	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.12	2.06
Goals prevented
-0.88	-1.94

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Cai M. ⚽, Diao Jiahao (A),
9', Sun Xinkai 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Fan Ruiwei ⚽, Cai M. (A),
18', Liang Huan ↓, Chen Chenzhenyang ↑,
31', 2 - 1, Kong Yinquan ⚽, Sun Xinkai (A),
45+2', 3 - 1, Liu Jiqiang ⚽, Cai M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wu Junjie ↓, Zheng Shengxiong ↑,
46', Wang H. ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
46', Huang Peizhao ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
46', Shi Yiyi 🟨,
54', 4 - 1, Fan Ruiwei ⚽, Li Jiaheng (A),
58', Sun Enming 🟨,
70', Liu Jiqiang ↓, Liang Junheng ↑,
70', Huang Yiwen ↓, Li Zhuoxuan ↑,
75', Cai M. ↓, Yang Youxian ↑,
77', Shi Yiyi ↓, Li Xi'nan ↑,
86', Diao Jiahao 🟨,
89', 4 - 2, Kong Yinquan (Pen),
90', Diao Jiahao ↓, Li Bin ↑,
90+5', Lu Wentao 🟨,
90+9', Zheng Shengxiong 🟨,
90+9', 🟥,
90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
30.9%

Draw
28.7%

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

32.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.27)	3.14 ↑ (2.9)	2.23 ↓ (3.17)	10.9% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ))
Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guizhou Zhucheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangzhou Dandelion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic were as follows:

02.05.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:1

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

02.07.2025 Wenzhou Professional - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

27.06.2025 Wuhan Three Towns B - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangdong Mingtu 3:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Lanhang 1:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

02.07.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Ganzhou Ruishi 5:0 ✺

28.06.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Wenzhou Professional 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Guangxi Lanhang - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0:1 ✺

19.06.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Wuhan Three Towns B 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 3:2 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	24	20	3	1	52:12	40	63
2	Wuxi Wugou	24	15	6	3	35:14	21	51
3	Shenzhen	24	14	7	3	30:15	15	49
4	Chengdu Rongcheng B	24	13	5	6	42:22	20	44
5	Guizhou Zhucheng	24	13	3	8	35:28	7	42
6	Shandong Taishan B	24	10	10	4	37:24	13	40
7	Changchun Xidu	24	10	9	5	20:13	7	39
8	Nantong Haimen	24	10	8	6	42:30	12	38

Promotion ~ Jia League

Which TV channels are streaming of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: