Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	2.17
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
83% (386/466)	85% (394/462)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	2.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	2.59
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
7	12
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
22	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
83% (386/466)	85% (394/462)
Long passes
49% (25/51)	41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
64% (76/118)	61% (48/79)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	1.15
Throw-ins
20	21
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
80% (4/5)	89% (8/9)
Duels won
35	39
Clearances
19	20
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
2.59	0.34
Goals prevented
0.59	-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Guerra G. ⚽, Linhares K. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Linhares K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marquinhos ↓, Santos N. ↑,
46', Moreno A. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
46', Brunell S. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
46', Sousa T. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
46', Burney L. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
55', Pope B. 🟨,
65', Baker C. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
71', Guerra G. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
71', Pope B. ↓, Jura S. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Tsukanome Y. ⚽,
77', Yamada K. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
84', Lopez A. 🟨,
84', Izoita E. ↓, Gallardo S. ↑,
87', Diaw B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
52.2%

Draw
20%

Portland Timbers 2
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

22.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacoma Defiance's performance.

Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	4.61 ↑ (4)	3.31 ↑ (2.8)	8.7% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 41:36. (average 2.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Portland Timbers 2?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?

Portland Timbers 2 has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 were as follows:

18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

08.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 5:2

30.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:0

10.05.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 4:1

04.09.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 4:0

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

20.07.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance 6:4 ✺

17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4 ✺

29.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:3 ✺

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Portland Timbers 2

18.07.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Los Angeles II - Portland Timbers 2 1:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Portland Timbers 2 0:4 ✺

20.06.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Austin II 1:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Ventura County 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
6	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
2	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
3	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
4	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
5	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
6	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
7	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
2	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
3	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
6	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
7	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
8	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
9	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
10	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
11	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
12	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
13	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
14	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
3	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
4	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
5	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
6	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
7	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
8	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
9	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

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