União Carmolandense vs Penedense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D União Carmolandense - Penedense
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 2
União Carmolandense - Penedense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
410
Total shots
89
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
410
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 68', 1 - 0, Gabriel Vinicius ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Thiaguinho ,

Chances of winning


União Carmolandense
37.6%
Draw
30.1%
Penedense
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 26.2% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 25.1% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Carmolandense's form might have worsened.
  • Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penedense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+20%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Carmolandense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penedense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • União Carmolandense - Penedense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (1.65)
    3.07
    (3.48)
    2.86
    (4.88)
    8.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for União Carmolandense - Penedense?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Penedense have a series of home games.
    • União Carmolandense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of União Carmolandense
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tuna Luso430110:559
    2Manauara32106:247
    3Independencia42118:537
    4Aguia De Maraba32104:137
    5Manaus41216:515
    6Trem30214:6-22
    7GAS40133:8-51
    8Humaita30031:10-90


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos42205:238
    2Imperatriz42113:4-17
    3Iguatu42025:326
    4Tocantinopolis41306:516
    5Maranhao41216:425
    6Maracana41213:305
    7Sampaio Correa41121:2-14
    8Parnahyba40130:6-61


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Cruz43107:1610
    2America RN42117:347
    3Central SC42115:327
    4Ferroviario32015:326
    5Treze PB42022:5-36
    6Santa Cruz de Natal41122:5-34
    7Sousa30120:2-21
    8Horizonte40130:6-61


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA440010:3712
    2Lagarto42115:6-17
    3Jequie32014:406
    4Uniao Carmolandense41125:414
    5Sergipe41124:314
    6Barcelona40313:6-33
    7SC Penedense40221:3-22
    8Juazeirense30211:4-32


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ceilandia43106:3310
    2Luverdense43105:2310
    3Aparecidense42115:327
    4Mixto41215:505
    5Capital41122:3-14
    6Goiania41032:3-13
    7Porto Velho41036:8-23
    8Goianesia41032:6-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa42117:617
    2Pouso Alegre42115:417
    3Boavista42115:507
    4Rio Branco ES42025:416
    5Agua Santa42026:7-16
    6Porto Vitoria41214:405
    7Marica41125:504
    8Nova Iguacu40223:5-22


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cianorte42207:348
    2Inter de Limeira42115:417
    3Itabirito41304:316
    4Operario MS41215:505
    5Goiatuba41126:604
    6Uberlandia41125:6-14
    7Cascavel41124:8-44
    8Monte Azul40313:4-13


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC43016:249
    2Joinville42113:217
    3Azuriz42023:306
    4Sao Luiz42023:5-26
    5EC Sao Jose31204:225
    6Marcilio Dias41215:505
    7Brasil de Pelotas41032:5-33
    8Guarany de Bage30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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