Loudoun United vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Loudoun United - Lexington
Result
5:1
10/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
Loudoun United - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.670.77
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Long passes
55% (31/56)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
72% (89/124)70% (42/60)
Crosses
36% (5/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.27
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1216
Tackles
100% (16/16)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
718
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.772.67
Goals prevented
-0.23-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Epps M. ,
  • 25', Mines B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Valot F. , Santos P. (A),
  • 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Turner C. , Awuah K. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Tingey K. (Pen),
  • 56', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Aboukoura A. , Valot F. (A),
  • 63', Djeffal S. , Nick Firmino ,
  • 64', Goldthorp E. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 64', Bidois R. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 69', Mines B. , Skundrich D. ,
  • 73', Lancaster C. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, Awuah K. , Ryan Z. (A),
  • 84', McCabe T. , Pendleton E. ,
  • 84', Leggett W. , Nagy A. ,
  • 87', 5 - 1, Ryan Z. , Nagy A. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
53.8%
Draw
23.8%
Lexington
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 26.4% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.9% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Loudoun United - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.9
    (3.5)
    4.14
    (4.81)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Loudoun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lexington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Loudoun has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Loudoun is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Lexington were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 23166146:182854
    2Charleston ✔ 23162547:242350
    3Loudoun23114837:35237
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2395933:27632
    6Detroit2388729:26332
    7Pittsburgh2387823:21231
    8Indy Eleven23751136:42-626
    9Rhode Island23661116:24-824
    10Birmingham23410929:38-922
    11Tampa Bay22631324:34-1021
    12Miami FC23551322:38-1620


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa23127438:261243
    2Sacramento Republic22107533:171637
    3El Paso2288637:32532
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5New Mexico2193927:30-330
    6Colorado Springs2286829:30-130
    7San Antonio2286826:28-230
    8Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    9Orange County SC2184933:33028
    10Oakland Roots22731225:34-924
    11Monterey Bay24661224:32-824
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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