Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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17 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Passes |
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83% (364/440) | 86% (464/541) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 0 |
Total shots |
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17 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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10 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 11 |
Passes |
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83% (364/440) | 86% (464/541) |
Fouls |
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9 | 8 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Doi S. ⚽, Disaro A. S. (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, Kida R. ⚽, Nakamura R. (A),
- 25', 3 - 0, Okamoto K. ⚽,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Yamada H. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yamada H. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
- 59', Ogawa S. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
- 59', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 63', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
- 63', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
- 65', Nagasawa S. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
- 72', Tanaka W. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 72', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Shinkawa S. ⚽, Kitajima F. (A),
- 79', Kimoto Y. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
- 81', Nakamura R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kida R. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
- 90+6', Heward-Belle T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montedio Yamagata 36.4% | Draw 29.6% | Sagan Tosu 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↑ (2.43) |
3.1 ↓ (3.26) |
2.72 ↓ (2.78) |
8.3% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 9).
- Recent performances by Montedio Yamagata have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tosu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Sagan Tosu?
Montedio Yamagata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Montedio Yamagata?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
25.04.2025
Sagan Tosu
-
Montedio Yamagata
2:1
Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mito | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 45:28 | 17 | 55 |
2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 49:40 | 9 | 55 |
3 | Chiba | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 54 |
4 | Vegalta Sendai | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 51 |
5 | Sagan Tosu | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:33 | 5 | 49 |
6 | Tokushima | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 30:19 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Iwata | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
8 | Omiya Ardija | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 47 |
9 | Imabari | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Iwaki | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
12 | Kofu | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Fujieda MYFC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
14 | Blaublitz | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 36 |
15 | Montedio Yamagata | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 43:44 | -1 | 35 |
16 | Oita Trinita | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
17 | Kumamoto | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 37:47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 25 |
19 | Toyama | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
20 | Ehime | 30 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 27:54 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu?
It is being streamed on channel
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Japan | DAZN Japan |