Sport Recife vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Sport Recife - Corinthians
21/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Sport Recife - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Sport Recife
33.1%
Draw
31.4%
Corinthians
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 31.3% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 30.7% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Corinthians aligns with the current prediction.
  • Sport Recife - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.77)
    3.04
    (2.99)
    2.67
    (2.69)
    5.1%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Corinthians?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.
    • Recife has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Corinthians is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Corinthians were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Corinthians - Sport Recife 2:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ22155247:103750
    2Cruzeiro23145437:162147
    3Palmeiras21144332:171546
    4Mirassol22109339:231639
    5Botafogo RJ22106633:171636
    6Bahia21106529:24536
    7Sao Paulo2398627:23435
    8Bragantino23941028:33-531
    9Corinthians2378824:28-429
    10Fluminense2184925:29-428
    11Ceara2276921:22-127
    12Internacional2276926:33-727
    13Atletico-MG2167821:25-425
    14Gremio2267920:27-725
    15Vasco22651132:33-123
    16Santos22651121:32-1123
    17Vitoria23410919:34-1522
    18Juventude22631319:43-2421
    19Fortaleza22461222:34-1218
    20Sport Recife21181215:34-1911

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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