Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima Antlers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers
Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 11
Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.50
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
65% (193/299)76% (307/406)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.221.19
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1820
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
65% (193/299)76% (307/406)
Long passes
17% (10/60)37% (24/65)
Passes in final third
61% (72/119)61% (71/117)
Crosses
7% (1/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.99
Fouls
1510
Tackles
69% (9/13)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5349
Clearances Total
3130
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.192.22
Goals prevented
-0.811.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Kudo K. 🟨,
  • 21', Suzuki Y. (Pen),
  • 43', 1 - 0, Sato R. ,
  • 45+6', Tsukui K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Cavric A. , Tsukui K. (A),
  • 60', Tatsuta Y. , Yanagi Y. ,
  • 60', Tabei R. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 67', Kimura T. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 67', Chinen K. , Misao K. ,
  • 67', Araki R. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 67', Shibasaki G. , Funabashi Y. ,
  • 72', Morooka S. , Talles Brener ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Talles Brener , Cavric A. (A),
  • 75', Fujita I. 🟨,
  • 75', Fujita I. , Fujii K. ,
  • 75', Lucao , Gleyson ,
  • 88', Cavric A. , Kim Tae-Hyeon ,
  • 90+7', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
  • 90+8', Gleyson 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
34%
Draw
29.7%
Kashima Antlers
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.1% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 27.7% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (3)
    3.17
    (3.23)
    2.61
    (2.37)
    6.2%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).
    • Recent matches Okayama is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Kashima is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Tabei R. (Injury) Tagami D. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Okayama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers16111426:121434
    2Kashiwa Reysol1696120:101033
    3Kyoto1784524:21328
    4Urawa Reds1675418:13526
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1582514:11326
    6Gamba Osaka1672719:21-223
    7Cerezo Osaka1664624:22222
    8Shimizu S-Pulse1664621:19222
    9Kawasaki Frontale1456322:14821
    10Vissel Kobe1463513:12121
    11Machida1663717:18-121
    12Avispa Fukuoka1663714:16-221
    13Shonan Bellmare1663712:19-721
    14Verdy1655611:16-520
    15FC Tokyo1554615:17-219
    16Okayama1654711:13-219
    17Nagoya Grampus1644818:24-616
    18Yokohama FC1643910:17-715
    19Albirex Niigata1527616:21-513
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1415811:20-98

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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