Wuhan Three Towns vs Changchun Yatai: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/08/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan).

: Super League - Round 19

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.71
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
92% (568/620)	74% (187/252)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	0.41
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
11	10
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
33	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
18	5
Passes
92% (568/620)	74% (187/252)
Long passes
83% (48/58)	44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
80% (113/142)	59% (55/94)
Crosses
25% (8/32)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.49
Throw-ins
16	14
Fouls
5	18
Tackles
77% (10/13)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
54	36
Clearances
24	30
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.41	1.11
Goals prevented
0.41	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Piao Taoyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
64', Asqer A. ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
76', Palacios M. ↓, Shen Zigui ↑,
78', Li Shenyuan ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
78', Piao Taoyu ↓, Cyprien W. ↑,
81', He Guan ↓, Hang Ren ↑,
81', Chen Zhechao ↓, Wang Denny ↑,
86', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, Sun Qinhan ↑,
86', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
87', Salazar J. 🟨,
90+4', Cyprien W. 🟨,
90+6', Xuan Z. 🟨,
90+11', Rosic L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Wuhan Three Towns
55.9%

Draw
23%

Changchun Yatai
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

20.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	4.04 ↓ (4.07)	4.43 ↑ (4.18)	6.9% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai?

Users Predictions: Wuhan Three Towns will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2.
Recent performances by Wuhan Three Towns have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Changchun Yatai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Changchun Yatai has had a series of home games.
In this match, Wuhan Three Towns is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Wuhan Three Towns won against Changchun Yatai?

Wuhan Three Towns has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Wuhan Three Towns?

Changchun Yatai has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai were as follows:

02.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 1:1

10.08.2024 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 2:0

20.04.2024 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0

04.11.2023 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 3:4

08.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 2:1

Latest results of Wuhan Three Towns

27.07.2025 Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns 3:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns 3:1 ✺

18.06.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Wuhan Three Towns 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Changchun Yatai

27.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy 0:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port 1:3 ✺

29.06.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua 1:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Changchun Yatai - Qingdao West Coast 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai 2:1 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Shenhua	19	14	3	2	46:23	23	45
2	Shanghai Port	19	12	5	2	45:25	20	41
3	Chengdu Rongcheng	19	12	4	3	37:16	21	40
4	Beijing Guoan	19	11	6	2	40:22	18	39
5	Zhejiang Professional	19	8	5	6	39:30	9	29
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	19	8	5	6	27:29	-2	29
7	Dalian Yingbo	19	8	5	6	21:24	-3	29
8	Shandong Taishan	19	8	4	7	37:31	6	28
9	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	5	7	30:32	-2	26
10	Qingdao West Coast	19	6	8	5	26:28	-2	26
11	Wuhan Three Towns	19	5	6	8	25:34	-9	21
12	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	19	5	2	12	24:42	-18	17
13	Henan Songshan Longmen	19	4	4	11	28:35	-7	16
14	Meizhou Hakka	19	3	4	12	24:43	-19	13
15	Qingdao Hainiu	19	2	5	12	15:31	-16	11
16	Changchun Yatai	19	2	3	14	15:34	-19	9

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League

Which TV channels are streaming of Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol