Itabaiana vs Náutico Capibaribe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 1
Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Vinicius ,
  • 38', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Wenderson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Valdeci , Robinho ,
  • 46', Bruno Sena , Fabricio Oya ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Wendel R. N. J. , Carlos Coppetti (A),
  • 60', Felipe Santana , Marco Antonio ,
  • 67', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
  • 70', Jackson , Cabral J. ,
  • 70', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Romeo ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Cabral J. , Leilson (A),
  • 76', Kauan , Betao ,
  • 77', Helio Borges , Caio Vitor ,
  • 77', Wenderson , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 80', Marcos Ytalo , Igor Fernandes ,
  • 80', Luiz Paulo , Arnaldo ,
  • 84', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
31.8%
Draw
32.1%
Náutico Capibaribe
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 30.3% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 30.6% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (3.29)
    2.82
    (3)
    2.51
    (2.16)
    10.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta19113520:16436
    3Nautico19106325:71836
    4Londrina1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

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