Sebastian Baez vs Gabriel Diallo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Cincinnati Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo
09/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
21.1%
Gabriel Diallo
78.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 73.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.
  • Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriel Diallo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 45. Diallo is ranked ATP: 36.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Diallo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo 2:1
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.2 : 1
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.1 : 2
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.2 : 0
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)
    47Vukic A. (LL)Basavareddy N. (WC)
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.
    51Comesana F.Munar J.
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.
    2Baez S.Diallo G. (30)
    3Machac T. (19)Mannarino A.
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.
    6Etcheverry T. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)Marozsan F.
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)TBD #18
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Fonseca J.
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)
    15Michelsen A. (28)Moutet C.
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)
    17Shelton B. (5)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (32)
    19Lehecka J. (22)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Medvedev D. (12)
    21Khachanov K. (14)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Fils A. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (27)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Zverev A. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Darderi L. (29)
    27Popyrin A. (21)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Rublev A. (9)
    29Mensik J. (16)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Shapovalov D. (24)
    31Griekspoor T. (26)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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