Racing vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Racing - Fortaleza
Result
1:0
29/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Racing - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.27
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (337/420)61% (134/221)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.00
Total shots
176
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
80% (337/420)61% (134/221)
Long passes
53% (40/75)34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
57% (65/115)41% (29/71)
Crosses
33% (9/27)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.09
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
1813
Tackles
83% (10/12)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.11
Goals prevented
0.000.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Matheus Rossetto , Emmanuel Martinez ,
  • 24', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Degregorio R. M. , Zaracho M. ,
  • 61', Fernandez A. , Salas M. ,
  • 71', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 71', Breno Lopes , Lucca Prior ,
  • 71', Almendra A. E. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 71', Marinho 🟨,
  • 77', Pedro Augusto , Ze Welison ,
  • 80', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
  • 89', Lucca Prior 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez , Di Cesare M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
53%
Draw
28.3%
Fortaleza
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 27.9% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 27.1% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Racing - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.86)
    3.32
    (3.38)
    5.01
    (4.37)
    6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Racing - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Racing is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fortaleza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Salas M. (Muscle Injury) Zuculini B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Inactive) Matheus Rossetto (Inactive) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Racing: Almendra A. E. (Inactive) Solari S. (Injury) Zaracho M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucas Sasha (Forearm injury) Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Fortaleza were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Fortaleza - Racing 0:3
    Latest results of Racing
    14.05.2025 Racing - Colo-Colo 4:0
    10.05.2025 Racing - Platense 0:1
    02.05.2025 Racing - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    21.05.2025 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:2
    17.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 3:0
    10.05.2025 Fortaleza - Juventude 5:0
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Racing - Fortaleza?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
    spainSpainLaLiga+ app
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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