Defensor Sporting vs Juventud de Las Piedras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras
05/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
38%
Draw
28.7%
Juventud de Las Piedras
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 28.9% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Juventud de Las Piedras aligns with the current prediction.
  • Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.54)
    3.23
    (3.22)
    2.77
    (2.69)
    8.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 1.
    • Defensor Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Juventud has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo43106:2410
    2Liverpool M53116:3310
    3Penarol43018:359
    4Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    5Boston River42207:258
    6Nacional531111:657
    7Montevideo City42119:637
    8CA Cerro42115:327
    9Juventud42024:5-16
    10Racing Montevideo42023:6-36
    11Miramar41125:504
    12Danubio41122:3-14
    13Progreso41034:7-33
    14Wanderers40131:4-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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