Cincinnati 2 vs New York City II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Cincinnati 2 - New York City II
Result
3:2 penalties
06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Cincinnati 2 - New York City II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.133.02
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Long passes
27% (13/48)26% (12/47)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)73% (94/129)
Crosses
64% (7/11)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.87
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
1310
Tackles
55% (11/20)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
3.022.13
Goals prevented
1.020.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 26', Baiera A. (Pen),
  • 36', Jimenez S. , Locker C. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. , Lacher J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mboma K. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Musu S. , Murray M. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. , Ikoba T. (A),
  • 66', Schaefer B. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 66', Lim E. , Arroyave J. ,
  • 66', Baiera A. , Tiao C. ,
  • 66', Musu S. , Zeitz U. ,
  • 70', Daley A. 🟨,
  • 76', Davila A. , Chavez A. ,
  • 76', Kuisel W. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 81', Cavallo N. , Lopez J. ,
  • 81', Mangione P. , Manfroy B. ,
  • 84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
  • 89', Elias P. , Guarino E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
  • 2, Chirila S. (Pen),
  • 2, Tiao C. (Pen),
  • 3, Locker C. (Pen),
  • 3, Guarino E. (Pen),
  • 4, Chavez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
  • 5, Louro E. (Pen),
  • 5, Lopez J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
47.9%
Draw
24.6%
New York City II
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 24.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 23.3% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.
  • New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.12)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    3.35
    (2.75)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati 2 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
    • Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:
    09.04.2025 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 3:1
    07.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 1:2
    27.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 2:0
    28.05.2023 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2211322451:4245
    2Philadelphia Union II201052345:1942
    3Chicago Fire II201032552:3638
    4New England Revolution II19851533:2435
    5New York City II21724840:4329
    6Cincinnati 220570823:2729
    7Toronto FC II21804925:3428
    8Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville191032442:2138
    2Chattanooga21843633:3335
    3Orlando City B217221029:4327
    4Carolina Core21544828:3027
    5Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    6Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    7Inter Miami II206031132:4521


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County201023542:3437
    2Town FC181022444:2536
    3Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance19721949:5026
    6Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    7Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2211430447:2948
    2Colorado Rapids 2211014640:3336
    3Austin FC II20735526:2332
    4North Texas20831834:4031
    5Minnesota 220813833:3329
    6Houston Dynamo 2216321029:3526
    7Sporting Kansas City II202131420:4911


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2211322451:4245
    2Philadelphia Union II201052345:1942
    3Huntsville191032442:2138
    4Chicago Fire II201032552:3638
    5New England Revolution II19851533:2435
    6Chattanooga21843633:3335
    7New York City II21724840:4329
    8Cincinnati 220570823:2729
    9Toronto FC II21804925:3428
    10Orlando City B217221029:4327
    11Carolina Core21544828:3027
    12Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    13Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    14Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    15Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2211430447:2948
    2Ventura County201023542:3437
    3Town FC181022444:2536
    4Colorado Rapids 2211014640:3336
    5Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    6Austin FC II20735526:2332
    7North Texas20831834:4031
    8Minnesota 220813833:3329
    9Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    10Tacoma Defiance19721949:5026
    11Houston Dynamo 2216321029:3526
    12Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    13Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523
    14Sporting Kansas City II202131420:4911

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