Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata).

: J1 League - Round 29

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.65
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
81% (416/516)	76% (313/411)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.16	0.93
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
27	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	15
Passes
81% (416/516)	76% (313/411)
Long passes
36% (25/70)	36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
64% (103/160)	57% (54/94)
Crosses
40% (8/20)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.99
Throw-ins
22	16
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
45% (5/11)	33% (3/9)
Duels won
55	44
Clearances
19	34
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.93	0.16
Goals prevented
-0.07	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Inui T. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
31', Yamahara R. 🟨,
39', Ohara M. 🟨,
40', Takahashi T. 🟨,
44', Yumiba M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Yumiba M. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
57', Nakahara H. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
65', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
65', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
76', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
83', Horigome Y. 🟨,
84', Yamahara R. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
84', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
86', Boudah A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
86', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
90+8', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Albirex Niigata
36.4%

Draw
28.6%

Shimizu S-Pulse
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.85)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	2.67 ↑ (2.42)	5.9% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Shimizu will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 21.7% – 78.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 2 - 50%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shimizu: Kitagawa K. (Yellow Cards) Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Albirex Niigata?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:

22.02.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Albirex Niigata 2:0

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

31.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

11.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

31.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Honda FC 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan