Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (119/205) | 84% (498/592) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (119/205) | 84% (498/592) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 61% (46/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 32% (14/44) | 75% (173/232) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 14% (6/44) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Dione M. 🟨,
- 19', Skadmanis K. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Cudars K. ⚽, Gueye A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Glaudans A. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
- 46', Skadmanis K. ↓, Sitjakovs R. ↑,
- 56', Kane M. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 59', Nguena K. 🟨,
- 62', Ogunji A. ↓, Hrvoj T. ↑,
- 62', Rafael Pontelo ↓, Wassom K. ↑,
- 79', Gueye A. ↓, Sula D. ↑,
- 82', Vejkrigers D. 🟨,
- 83', Monteiro E. ↓, Kragliks R. ↑,
- 83', Vejkrigers D. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
- 84', Clemente M. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Nguena K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Super Nova
16% | Draw
23.3% | Auda Riga
60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova's form might have worsened.Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Super Nova - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.72 ↑
(4.13) |
3.93 ↑
(3.6) |
1.51 ↓
(1.77) |
9.1%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Auda Riga?
The most likely score is 0:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Auda is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Auda Riga?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Super Nova?
Auda Riga has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Auda Riga were as follows:
02.09.2023
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
1:0
25.06.2023
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
0:5
02.05.2023
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
0:2
11.03.2023
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
2:0
18.09.2022
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
3:0
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 38:10 | 28 | 39 |
| 2 | RFS | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39:14 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Auda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Grobina | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
| 9 | Metta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 12 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Super Nova - Auda Riga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
