Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.10
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Long passes
45% (33/74)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
72% (69/96)60% (74/124)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.39
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1416
Tackles
56% (10/18)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6461
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.101.95
Goals prevented
0.10-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Diouf J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ikoba T. , Mboma K. ,
  • 63', Caicedo Y. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 63', Augee B. , Chavez A. ,
  • 63', Manyana X. , Mangione P. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. , Cassano C. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Mboma K. , Mangione P. (A),
  • 75', Reynolds J. , Nagle C. ,
  • 77', Hlyut V. 🟨,
  • 84', Hlyut V. , Montiel J. ,
  • 85', Cassano C. , Calle J. ,
  • 89', Shokalook J. , Boltz D. ,
  • 90+1', Adnan N. , Sakr A. ,
  • 90+5', Crockford N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
38.6%
Draw
25.7%
Cincinnati 2
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.8% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    3.61
    (3.57)
    2.59
    (2.63)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago Fire II has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    10.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:5
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II15522628:3121
    3New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    4Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    5Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    6Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    7Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    8Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Huntsville12531324:1322
    3Orlando City B13610619:2420
    4Carolina Core11323317:1516
    5Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    6Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    4Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    5Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    6Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    7Portland Timbers 213411721:3015


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas12611420:2321
    4Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    5Minnesota 210502320:1317
    6Austin FC II1122349:1313
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Huntsville12531324:1322
    4New York City II15522628:3121
    5Orlando City B13610619:2420
    6New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    7Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    8Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    9Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    10Carolina Core11323317:1516
    11Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    12Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    13Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    14Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    15Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas12611420:2321
    5Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    8Minnesota 210502320:1317
    9Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    10Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    11Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    12Portland Timbers 213411721:3015
    13Austin FC II1122349:1313
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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