Qarabağ Agdam vs FCSB: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League
Soccer UEFA Europa League Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB
Result
2:3
23/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Glova F. (Svk)
Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
910
Shots on Goal
15
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
74
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Free Kicks
2310
Offsides
12
Fouls
1023
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
1922
Touches in the Opposition Box
2514
Passes
82% (382/466)70% (189/271)
Passes in the final third
70% (108/155)63% (34/54)
Crosses
17% (4/23)30% (3/10)
Tackles
64% (16/25)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
1538
Interceptions
1015

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Akhundzade N. (A),
  • 4', Alhassan B. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Sut A. ⚽, Tanase F. (A),
  • 39', Romao J. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Dawa J. (Own goal), Cafarquliyev E. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Miculescu D. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Alhassan B. ↓, Edjouma M. ↑,
  • 46', Stefanescu M. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
  • 62', Miculescu D. ↓, Musi A. ↑,
  • 70', Romao J. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
  • 70', Mustafazada B. ↓, Vesovic M. ↑,
  • 73', 2 - 3, Sut A. ⚽,
  • 79', Ngezana S. 🟨,
  • 79', Tanase F. ↓, Popescu M. ↑,
  • 81', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
  • 81', Leandro Andrade ↓, Addai E. ↑,
  • 81', Kashchuk O. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
  • 89', Andrade P. 🟨,
  • 90', Birligea D. ↓, Popa D. ↑,
  • 90+2', Cretu V. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Matheus Silva 🟨,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
43.8%		Draw
28.3%		FCSB
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29.4% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 29.5% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↓
    (2.3)    		 3.41 ↑
    (3.26)    		 3.44 ↑
    (3.29)    		 4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). FCSB will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 28.5% – 62.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
    • Qarabağ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches FCSB is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Qarabağ will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in FCSB: Lixandru M. (Injury) Olaru D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in FCSB: Popescu O. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    17.01.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 3:2 ✺
    22.12.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan 2:0
    19.12.2024 Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam 0:1 ✺
    16.12.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit 5:0 ✺
    12.12.2024 Elfsborg - Qarabağ Agdam 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of FCSB
    17.01.2025 FCSB - Hermannstadt 1:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - FCSB 2:1
    10.01.2025 FCSB - Hamburger SV 2:1
    23.12.2024 Politehnica Iași - FCSB 0:2 ✺
    18.12.2024 FCSB - Universitatea Craiova 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb11003:123
    2Midtjylland11002:023
    3AS Roma11002:113
    4Ludogorets11002:113
    5Freiburg11002:113
    6Braga11001:013
    7Nottingham10102:201
    8Betis10102:201
    9Celtic10101:101
    10Crvena zvezda10101:101
    11PAOK10100:001
    12Maccabi Tel Aviv10100:001
    13Aston Villa00000:000
    14Celta Vigo00000:000
    15Lille00000:000
    16Bologna00000:000
    17Salzburg00000:000
    18Plzen00000:000
    19Genk00000:000
    20Lyon00000:000
    21Utrecht00000:000
    22FC Porto00000:000
    23Stuttgart00000:000
    24Panathinaikos00000:000
    25Brann00000:000
    26FCSB00000:000
    27Rangers00000:000
    28Young Boys00000:000
    29G.A. Eagles00000:000
    30Ferencvaros00000:000
    31Basel10011:2-10
    32Nice10011:2-10
    33Malmo FF10011:2-10
    34Feyenoord10010:1-10
    35Fenerbahce10011:3-20
    36Sturm Graz10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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