Milan vs Girona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Milan - Girona
Result
1:0
22/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Milan - Girona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.90
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1711
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Free Kicks
1812
Offsides
13
Fouls
1218
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1914
Touches in the Opposition Box
1821
Passes
88% (344/392)90% (481/535)
Passes in the final third
76% (65/86)78% (91/116)
Crosses
11% (1/9)36% (5/14)
Tackles
67% (10/15)62% (13/21)
Clearances Total
2011
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Emerson Royal , Calabria D. ,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Leao R. , Bennacer I. (A),
  • 41', Fofana Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Gil B. 🟨,
  • 64', Morata A. , Abraham T. ,
  • 72', Tsygankov V. , Martin I. ,
  • 72', Ruiz A. , Stuani C. ,
  • 72', Gil B. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 72', van de Beek D. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 75', Bennacer I. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 75', Reijnders T. , Terracciano F. ,
  • 77', Herrera Y. , Portu ,
  • 80', Hernandez T. 🟨,
  • 82', Martin I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Milan
59%
Draw
23.1%
Girona
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 20.3% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 19.4% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.
  • Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Milan - Girona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.45)
    4.13
    (4.72)
    5.31
    (6.91)
    5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Girona?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 55 - 75.3%). Girona will win (votes: 10 - 13.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 65.4%85.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Milan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Girona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Milan have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Milan is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S. (Thigh Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury) Okafor N. (Injury) Thiaw M. (Injury) Tomori F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Girona: Miovski B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Morata A. (Muscle Injury) Pulisic C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Girona: Danjuma A. (Illness) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Milan
    18.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 2:0
    14.01.2025 Como - Milan 1:2
    11.01.2025 Milan - Cagliari 1:1
    06.01.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:3
    03.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Girona
    18.01.2025 Girona - Sevilla 1:2
    11.01.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Girona 0:1
    20.12.2024 Girona - Valladolid 3:0
    14.12.2024 Mallorca - Girona 2:1
    10.12.2024 Girona - Liverpool 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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