Ospreys vs Newcastle Falcons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Ospreys - Newcastle Falcons
Result
35:15
11/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 3
Ospreys - Newcastle Falcons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
52
Conversion Goals
51
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (21 - 10)
  • 7', Brown L. (Try),
  • 8', Wilkinson K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Walsh J. (Try),
  • 16', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Wilkinson K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 27', Parry S. (Try),
  • 27', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Kasende D. (Try),
  • 31', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Spencer W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (14 - 5)
  • 64', Walsh J. (Try),
  • 65', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Hardy K. (Try),
  • 68', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Pepper M. (Try),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ospreys
91.3%
Draw
2%
Newcastle Falcons
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
90.3% 2.1% 7.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Ospreys - Newcastle Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.02
    (1.03)
    46.75
    (43.83)
    13.76
    (12.26)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 53.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)
  • What is the prediction for Ospreys - Newcastle Falcons?
    The most likely score is 40:14. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Ospreys is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Newcastle Falcons has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ospreys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ospreys is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ospreys won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 95:49 (average 31.7:16.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ospreys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 69:28 (average 34.5:14).
    Latest results of Ospreys
    01.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys 13:13
    21.12.2024 Ospreys - Llanelli Scarlets 23:22
    14.12.2024 Montpellier - Ospreys 59:15
    08.12.2024 Ospreys - Lions 30:14
    30.11.2024 Zebre - Ospreys 22:17
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    2LyonSharks34 : 21
    3ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    4USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24
    5EdinburghLions24 : 12
    6Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    7Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    8MontpellierGloucester17 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1OspreysLyon18 : 20
    2ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43
    3EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    4BathGloucester61 : 26

    Semi-finals
    1LyonRacing 9229 : 15
    2EdinburghBath24 : 39

    Final
    1LyonBath
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