Universidad Central vs Deportivo La Guaira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas).

: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.80	1.72
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
7	9
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
63% (112/179)	83% (339/410)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80	1.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.21	2.45
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
7	9
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
10	13
Shots outside the Box
0	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
3	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
16	28
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
11	23
Passes
63% (112/179)	83% (339/410)
Long passes
34% (20/59)	57% (33/58)
Passes in final third
51% (38/75)	71% (80/112)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	34% (11/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	0.49
Throw-ins
16	23
Fouls
23	11
Tackles
71% (10/14)	60% (3/5)
Duels won
45	48
Clearances
33	6
Interceptions
14	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	4
xGOT faced
2.45	3.21
Goals prevented
0.39	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Simarra A. ⚽, Ruiz M. (A),
29', Perdomo J. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Murillo Y. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Lamadrid K. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
56', Murillo Y. ↓, Cuesta J. ↑,
56', Sosa S. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Cumana Y. ⚽, Sole F. (A),
63', Rivas Y. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Ortiz C. ⚽, Cuesta J. (A),
73', Ortiz C. 🟨,
74', 3 - 2, Castillo S. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
79', Ortiz C. ↓, Granko A. ↑,
79', Martinez A. ↓, Melendez G. ↑,
82', Castillo S. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
82', Flores F. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,
82', Pena L. ↓, Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↑,
90', Zapata J. ↓, Mendoza K. ↑,
90', Arias J. 🟨,
90+2', Mendoza K. 🟨,
90+3', Carrillo D. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Universidad Central
33.2%

Draw
31.4%

Deportivo La Guaira
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.

Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.27)	2.94 ↓ (3.25)	2.62 ↓ (2.92)	8.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 1.
In recent matches, Universidad Central has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo La Guaira is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Deportivo La Guaira?

Universidad Central has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Universidad Central?

Deportivo La Guaira has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:

02.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central 2:2

02.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central 2:0

11.07.2024 Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira 0:1

25.05.2024 Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira 0:2

27.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central 0:2

Latest results of Universidad Central

11.05.2025 Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua 2:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Academia Anzoátegui - Universidad Central 4:4 ✺

27.04.2025 Universidad Central - Caracas 1:3 ✺

20.04.2025 Rayo Zuliano - Universidad Central 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Metropolitanos - Universidad Central 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira

11.05.2025 Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Anzoátegui 3:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo La Guaira 1:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira 1:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira 1:2 ✺

Venezuelan Primera Division Table

Apertura - Quadrangular

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	La Guaira	3	2	0	1	7:5	2	6
2	Universidad Central	3	1	2	0	9:8	1	5
3	Portuguesa	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2
4	Anzoategui FC	3	0	2	1	5:7	-2	2

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dep. Tachira	3	3	0	0	4:1	3	9
2	Carabobo	3	1	1	1	3:2	1	4
3	Puerto Cabello	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
4	Metropolitanos	3	0	1	2	2:5	-3	1

Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: