Result
1:2
11/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 2
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (268/346) | 80% (252/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (268/346) | 80% (252/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (73/126) | 73% (46/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/31) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Meza J. ⚽, Varela C. (A),
- 20', Rojas C. 🟨,
- 26', Lamadrid K. 🟨,
- 32', Martinez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Gonzalez A. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
- 55', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 64', Uribe A. (Pen),
- 65', Murillo Y. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
- 65', Cuesta J. ↓, Magallan C. ↑,
- 66', Silva K. 🟨,
- 71', Faya C. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Zapata J. ⚽, Sosa S. (A),
- 76', Velasquez W. ↓, Simarra A. ↑,
- 77', Ortiz C. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
- 80', Meza J. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
- 80', Uribe A. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Rivas Y. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
Chances of winning
Universidad Central
36.9% | Draw
30.6% | Deportivo La Guaira
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.25) |
3 ↓
(3.02) |
2.83 ↓
(3.2) |
9%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 2.
- Universidad Central is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Deportivo La Guaira's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Universidad Central has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Universidad Central?
Deportivo La Guaira has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
21.05.2025
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Universidad Central
0:1
16.05.2025
Universidad Central
-
Deportivo La Guaira
3:2
02.02.2025
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Universidad Central
2:2
02.09.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Universidad Central
2:0
11.07.2024
Universidad Central
-
Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Latest results of Universidad Central
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Universidad Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Rayo Zuliano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Caracas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Metropolitanos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Dep. Tachira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Zamora | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Yaracuyanos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Monagas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Anzoategui FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
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