Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sertanense
46.3% | Draw
29.6% | Alcains
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Sertanense - Alcains Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.72) |
3.06 ↓
(3.64) |
3.76 ↓
(4.12) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Sertanense is Relegated to
- Alcains is Relegated to
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 3.
- Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Alcains has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Sertanense is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sertanense won against Alcains?
Sertanense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcains won against Sertanense?
Alcains has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Alcains were as follows:
15.12.2024
Alcains
-
Sertanense
2:0
16.04.2023
Sertanense
-
Alcains
1:3
08.01.2023
Alcains
-
Sertanense
0:3
11.09.2022
Alcains
-
Sertanense
0:1
Latest results of Sertanense
Latest results of Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Uniao Da Serra | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Vitoria Sernache | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Peniche | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Marinhense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SB Castelo Branco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Samora Correia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | SC Lusitania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Lajense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Oliveira Hospital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Fatima | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Electrico | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
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