Result
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Porto
72.1% | Draw
17.7% | Nacional
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Porto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Porto - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.31) |
5.31 ↑
(5.28) |
9.22 ↓
(9.46) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Porto - Nacional?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
- Porto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Porto won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:11. (average 2.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 2.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Nacional?
Porto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Porto?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Nacional were as follows:
12.01.2025
Nacional
-
Porto
2:0
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 86:27 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 83:27 | 56 | 79 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 62:30 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Braga | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54:29 | 25 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 34:31 | 3 | 54 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Estoril | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:53 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39:50 | -11 | 37 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 37 |
| 12 | Arouca | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 35 |
| 13 | Nacional | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32:47 | -15 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 33:46 | -13 | 33 |
| 15 | Estrela | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 16 | AFS | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 25:57 | -32 | 27 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 24:44 | -20 | 27 |
| 18 | Boavista | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23:55 | -32 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Porto - Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
