Result
3:1
16/05/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 7
- Referee: Amland S. (Nor)
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Chances of winning
Aalesunds
15.4% | Draw
22.1% | Molde
62.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molde's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aalesunds - Molde Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.13 ↑
(5.23) |
4.27 ↑
(3.65) |
1.51 ↓
(1.6) |
6.2%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aalesunds - Molde?
Users Predictions:
Molde will win
(40 of 46 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.23% – 96.69%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 7).
- Aalesunds has the most likely position - 16 (43.25%), project points - 23, currently - 1, a good chance of relegated (72%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Molde has the most likely position - 2 (30.17%), project points - 54, currently - 10, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of qualify for ucl (9%), a small chance of win league (9%).
- This event has small quality 27, importance 37, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 0.
- Aalesunds has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Molde is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Molde is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A.
(Injury)
Barmen K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Molde: Ellingsen M.
(Knee Injury)
Haugen K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Molde: Andersen E.
(Injury)
Sinyan S.
(Injury)
- Last 25 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 21 matches and goals 22-60.
- Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-24.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalesunds won against Molde?
Aalesunds has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Molde won against Aalesunds?
Molde has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aalesunds - Molde were as follows:
03.05.2023
Molde
-
Aalesunds
3:0
25.03.2023
Aalesunds
-
Molde
0:3
18.09.2022
Molde
-
Aalesunds
3:0
Latest results of Aalesunds
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 42:24 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Tromso | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Brann | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 24 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | Molde | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | HamKam | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17:33 | -16 | 6 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5:39 | -34 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
Which TV channels are streaming of Aalesunds - Molde?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
