Keçiörengücü vs Ankaragücü: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Turkish First League Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü
Result
2:3
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 1. Lig - Round 37
  • Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)
Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.22
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
89% (425/477)85% (351/414)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.432.44
Total shots
713
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
137
Passes
89% (425/477)85% (351/414)
Long passes
70% (43/61)43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
75% (62/83)58% (51/88)
Crosses
23% (3/13)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.45
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
713
Tackles
72% (13/18)75% (18/24)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
1012
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.441.43
Goals prevented
-0.56-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', Coelho D. , Cephas R. ,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Owusu , Rotariu D. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Yildiz U. , Rroca E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ezeh F. , Dere A. ,
  • 46', Dembele P. M. , Kilic H. ,
  • 46', Rroca E. , Duman A. ,
  • 57', Turkmen C. , Gultekin Y. ,
  • 61', Caliskan O. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Owusu (Pen),
  • 64', Sengul A. , Kula M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Cephas R. , Schulz N. (A),
  • 67', Develi E. , Nahirci O. ,
  • 76', Rotariu D. , Simsek M. ,
  • 76', Owusu , Laura G. ,
  • 76', Dalcio , Rakoczy M. ,
  • 84', Nahirci O. 🟨,
  • 85', Nahirci O. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 3, Yildiz U. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
12.6%
Draw
19.2%
Ankaragücü
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 24.9% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.
  • Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankaragücü's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+23.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-30.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ankaragücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.18
    (2.71)
    4.76
    (3.61)
    1.36
    (2.38)
    8.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
    • Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ankaragücü has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ankaragücü is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K. (Suspended) Silva M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ankaragücü: Celik O. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Ankaragücü - Keçiörengücü 2:0
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Ankaragücü
    27.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Çorum 1:0
    18.04.2025 Manisa FK - Ankaragücü 2:1
    13.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Boluspor 2:2
    09.04.2025 Pendikspor - Ankaragücü 2:1
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kocaelispor ✔ 38219868:412772
    2Genclerbirligi ✔ 381911857:342368
    3Karagumruk ✔ 381991055:361966
    4Istanbulspor AS ✔ 382041467:382964
    5Bandirmaspor ✔ 381713852:45764
    6Erzurumspor ✔ 381971253:312264
    7Boluspor ✔ 3817101166:402661
    8Igdir FK3816101257:332458
    9Amedspor381415943:35857
    10Corum3814121249:45454
    11Umraniyespor3814111348:42653
    12Erokspor3813131253:50352
    13Sakaryaspor3813121348:54-651
    14Keciorengucu381491560:53751
    15Manisa FK381461850:52-248
    16Pendikspor381391645:51-648
    17Ankaragucu ✔ 381461849:48148
    18Sanliurfaspor ✔ 381172045:55-1040
    19Adanaspor AS ✔ 38792232:75-4330
    20Yeni Malatyaspor ✔ 38003814:153-139-21

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kocaelispor is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super Lig
    Genclerbirligi is Qualified for Super Lig
    Karagumruk is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Final)
    Istanbulspor AS is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Bandirmaspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Erzurumspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Boluspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Ankaragucu is Relegated to
    Sanliurfaspor is Relegated to
    Adanaspor AS is Relegated to
    Yeni Malatyaspor is Relegated to
    Which TV channels are streaming of Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaTOD
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Avaz, TRT Spor
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