Fleetwood Town vs Harrogate Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town
Result
3:2
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 12
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.89
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
60% (177/294)79% (470/596)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.86
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
60% (177/294)79% (470/596)
Long passes
33% (27/82)19% (15/80)
Passes in final third
48% (62/128)50% (52/104)
Crosses
39% (7/18)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.78
Throw-ins
1830
Fouls
1310
Tackles
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
6553
Clearances
4640
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.861.22
Goals prevented
-0.14-1.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Burrell W. , Smith R. (A),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Davies W. , Bonds E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Muldoon J. , Fox B. (A),
  • 61', Norwood J. , Graydon R. ,
  • 61', McCann L. , Ennis E. ,
  • 71', Virtue-Thick M. , Helm M. ,
  • 71', Davies W. , Evans C. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Bonds E. , Evans C. (A),
  • 78', 3 - 2, Graydon R. , Evans C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fleetwood Town
50.1%
Draw
26.7%
Harrogate Town
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.7% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 26.3% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.8)
    3.51
    (3.62)
    4.02
    (4.17)
    6.1%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 16).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fleetwood is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Gibson L. (Inactive) Hill T. (Hamstring Injury) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Injury) Johnson W. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Cass L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fleetwood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town 3:1
    29.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 1:1
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1282218:10826
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Gillingham1264218:11722
    4MK Dons1263323:121121
    5Grimsby1263324:15921
    6Chesterfield1263322:19321
    7Barnet1262416:12420
    8Crewe1261516:13319
    9Salford1261517:17019
    10Bromley1246218:15318
    11Cambridge Utd1253414:12218
    12Fleetwood1253418:18018
    13Notts Co1152420:13717
    14Bristol Rovers1252513:17-417
    15Oldham1236310:9115
    16Colchester1235418:17114
    17Harrogate1242614:17-314
    18Barrow124269:12-314
    19Tranmere1125416:17-111
    20Accrington112367:14-79
    21Crawley1223710:21-119
    22Shrewsbury122379:20-119
    23Newport1222811:21-108
    24Cheltenham122287:25-188

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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