Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.37
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
75% (269/359)70% (246/349)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.11
Total shots
76
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
174
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
75% (269/359)70% (246/349)
Long passes
42% (34/81)25% (14/57)
Passes in final third
59% (76/128)52% (54/104)
Crosses
19% (5/26)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.32
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1712
Tackles
82% (14/17)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5539
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
135
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.111.93
Goals prevented
-0.89-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 34', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
47.6%
Draw
25.2%
Birmingham Legion
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 26.8% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 23.8% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.93)
    3.7
    (3.43)
    3.44
    (3.6)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
    • Recent performances by Indy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Indy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    28.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 2:1
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    19.10.2024 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 3:2
    09.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    09.08.2023 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 4:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 27184559:293058
    3Hartford Athletic ✔ 281351046:321444
    4Loudoun ✔ 281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh ✔ 281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 28129743:261745
    3New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio281071134:35-137
    6Lexington29991131:39-836
    7Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    8Orange County SC28981142:44-235
    9Colorado Springs28971234:44-1034
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+
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