Jong Ajax vs Excelsior: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong Ajax - Excelsior
Result
3:2
10/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
Jong Ajax - Excelsior - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.29
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1513
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
58
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
97
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
1910
Offsides
00
Fouls
1019
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
1921
Touches in the Opposition Box
2329
Passes
81% (345/428)82% (358/436)
Passes in the final third
69% (73/106)62% (64/103)
Crosses
25% (3/12)22% (4/18)
Tackles
71% (12/17)71% (15/21)
Clearances Total
2114
Interceptions
1219

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, van de Pavert R. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Steur S. , Konadu D. ,
  • 46', Janse D. , Jetten L. ,
  • 50', Sanches Fernandes D. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Kaplan A. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Bounida R. , Faberski J. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 2, Bronkhorst I. ,
  • 61', Bounida R. , Vink S. ,
  • 64', Donkor J. , Martens N. ,
  • 72', Omorowa R. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 72', Sanches Fernandes D. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 72', van de Pavert R. , Ugwu P. ,
  • 74', Raatsie C. 🟨,
  • 81', Rijkhoff J. , Kalokoh D. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Vink S. , Konadu D. (A),
  • 85', Zagre A. , Warmerdam D. ,
  • 85', Fini S. , Rosario R. ,
  • 90+5', Bergraaf J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
27.9%
Draw
24.6%
Excelsior
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 19.3% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14% 18.7% 65.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Ajax's performance.
  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Ajax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jong Ajax - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (6.89)
    3.81
    (4.85)
    1.98
    (1.4)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Excelsior will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Houston Christian won 1.
    • Recent matches Houston Christian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • SE Louisiana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Houston Christian have a series of guest games.
    • Recently SE Louisiana have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Houston Christian won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 875:932 (average 72.9:77.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Houston Christian won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 436:468 (average 72.7:78).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Excelsior were as follows:
    29.11.2024 Excelsior - Jong Ajax 2:0
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    25.01.2025 Telstar - Jong Ajax 3:0
    20.01.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 4:0
    23.12.2024 Jong Ajax - Roda 3:1
    Latest results of Excelsior
    01.02.2025 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:3
    26.01.2025 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    17.01.2025 Cambuur - Excelsior 1:0
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    10.01.2025 Excelsior - Dordrecht 1:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag981027:72025
    2Cambuur1072121:12923
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Willem II1052312:13-117
    6Dordrecht1044215:11416
    7Waalwijk1043316:14215
    8Den Bosch942320:18214
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10De Graafschap933315:14112
    11Venlo1040614:17-312
    12Maastricht103259:14-511
    13Oss1032516:22-611
    14Eindhoven FC103259:16-711
    15FC Emmen1031615:21-610
    16Almere City930619:1549
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse631211:101-2

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