Frosinone vs Cesena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Frosinone - Cesena
Result
3:1
30/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 6
  • Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
Frosinone - Cesena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.16
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
76% (246/322)82% (352/431)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.46
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2825
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2013
Passes
76% (246/322)82% (352/431)
Long passes
40% (20/50)48% (19/40)
Passes in final third
57% (69/121)73% (95/130)
Crosses
8% (1/12)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.98
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1320
Tackles
57% (8/14)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.462.49
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Raimondo A. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Raimondo A. , Calo G. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 0, Ghedjemis F. , Kone B. L. (A),
  • 57', Balde S. , Magni V. ,
  • 57', Ciofi A. , Olivieri M. ,
  • 62', Kvernadze G. 🟥,
  • 66', Raimondo A. , Vergani E. ,
  • 66', Ghedjemis F. , Cichella M. ,
  • 66', Bisoli D. , Frabotta G. ,
  • 67', Bastoni S. , Berti T. ,
  • 70', Blesa J. , Shpendi C. ,
  • 73', Koutsoupias I. , Zilli M. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Ciervo R. , Shpendi C. (A),
  • 85', Adamo E. 🟨,
  • 88', Palmisani L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kone B. L. , Ndow A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/58u8jx87

Chances of winning


Frosinone
36.1%
Draw
30.2%
Cesena
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 29.3% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Frosinone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Frosinone - Cesena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.6)
    3.12
    (3.2)
    2.82
    (2.71)
    5.6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Frosinone - Cesena?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 1.
    • Frosinone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cesena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Frosinone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Frosinone has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Inactive) Biraschi D. (Inactive) Corrado N. (Inactive) Gori L. (Inactive) Hegelund V. (Inactive) Selvini A. (Knee Injury) Sherri A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cesena: Frabotta G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Cesena were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Cesena - Frosinone 1:1
    01.12.2024 Frosinone - Cesena 3:2
    Latest results of Frosinone
    27.09.2025 Mantova - Frosinone 1:5
    23.09.2025 Cagliari - Frosinone 4:1
    13.09.2025 Padova - Frosinone 0:1
    30.08.2025 Palermo - Frosinone 0:0
    Latest results of Cesena
    27.09.2025 Cesena - Palermo 1:1
    20.09.2025 Venezia - Cesena 1:2
    13.09.2025 Sampdoria - Cesena 1:2
    30.08.2025 Cesena - Virtus Entella 1:1
    22.08.2025 Pescara - Cesena 1:3
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena752013:31017
    2Palermo74309:3615
    3Frosinone742113:7614
    4Venezia733110:5512
    5Avellino733111:9212
    6Cesena732211:10111
    7Monza73227:6111
    8Carrarese724111:7410
    9Juve Stabia72418:8010
    10Sudtirol723211:1019
    11Reggiana723210:1009
    12Empoli723210:13-39
    13Padova72237:9-28
    14Catanzaro70617:8-16
    15Entella71336:10-46
    16Bari71337:12-56
    17Pescara712411:14-35
    18Sampdoria71247:10-35
    19Mantova71155:13-84
    20Spezia70344:11-73

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Frosinone - Cesena?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
    worldWorldOnefootball
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