Anderlecht vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Anderlecht - Porto
Result
2:2
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
Anderlecht - Porto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.41
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
03
Free Kicks
167
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
62
Throw-ins
1715
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
716
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
409374
Completed Passes
332302
Crosses Completed
25
Interceptions
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Galeno (Pen),
  • 28', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
  • 34', Joao Mario 🟨,
  • 44', Nico 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Joao Mario , Fernandes M. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Degreef T. , Rits M. (A),
  • 54', Moura F. 🟨,
  • 60', Edozie S. , Amuzu F. ,
  • 64', Bruno V. 🟨,
  • 72', Dolberg K. , Vazquez L. ,
  • 73', Degreef T. , Dreyer A. ,
  • 75', Pepê , Borges G. ,
  • 82', Eustaquio S. , Vieira F. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Vieira F. , Nico (A),
  • 84', Foket T. , Engwanda N. ,
  • 84', Dendoncker L. , Verschaeren Y. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Amuzu F. , N'Diaye M. (A),

Chances of winning


Anderlecht
24.8%
Draw
26.4%
Porto
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 29.3% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 30.3% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Anderlecht - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (3.05)
    3.65
    (3.05)
    1.97
    (2.15)
    4.2%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Porto will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 25.6%61%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Anderlecht in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Porto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Hazard T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Gul D. (Thigh Injury) Ivan Jaime (Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Navarro F. (Muscle Injury) Otavio (Muscle Injury) Wendell (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M. (Muscle Injury) Augustinsson L. (Injury) Vertonghen J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    24.11.2024 Anderlecht - Gent 6:0
    10.11.2024 Cercle Brugge - Anderlecht 0:5
    07.11.2024 RFS - Anderlecht 1:1
    03.11.2024 Anderlecht - Kortrijk 4:0
    31.10.2024 Tubize - Anderlecht 0:4
    Latest results of Porto
    24.11.2024 Moreirense - Porto 2:1
    10.11.2024 Benfica - Porto 4:1
    07.11.2024 Lazio - Porto 2:1
    03.11.2024 Porto - Estoril Praia 4:0
    31.10.2024 Porto - Moreirense 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland
    16RFSKuPS
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    18CFR ClujBraga
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik
    20ServetteUtrecht
    21HackenBrann
    22AEK LarnacaLegia
    23RijekaShelbourne
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
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