Heidenheim vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Heidenheim - Chelsea
Result
0:2
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Heidenheim - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.972.90
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
1617
Shots on Goal
119
Shots off Goal
35
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
1014
Corner Kicks
36
Offsides
60
Throw-ins
1610
Goalkeeper Saves
711
Fouls
1410
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
302629
Completed Passes
240554
Crosses Completed
25
Interceptions
185

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Badiashile B. 🟨,
  • 42', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 45', Casadei C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Nkunku C. , Sancho J. (A),
  • 57', Dorsch N. , Schoppner J. ,
  • 57', Honsak M. , Conteh S. ,
  • 62', Guiu M. , Joao Felix ,
  • 68', Traore O. H. , Beck A. ,
  • 68', Maloney L. , Breunig M. ,
  • 76', Nkunku C. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 78', Kaufmann M. , Gimber B. ,
  • 82', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
  • 84', Veiga R. 🟨,
  • 85', Schoppner J. 🟨,
  • 86', 0 - 2, Mudryk M. , Sancho J. (A),
  • 90+2', Sancho J. , George T. ,
  • 90+2', Dewsbury-Hall K. , Rak-Sakyi S. ,
  • 90+7', Casadei C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
16.6%
Draw
20.6%
Chelsea
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 25.1% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 24.4% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Heidenheim - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.65
    (4.7)
    4.58
    (3.65)
    1.5
    (1.65)
    6.4%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.18%99.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Heidenheim is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Chelsea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Heidenheim have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Busch M. (Groin Injury) Janes L. (Knee Injury) Niehues J. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Inactive) James R. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Palmer C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Keller T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Gusto M. (Illness) Neto P. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    10.11.2024 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    07.11.2024 Hearts - Heidenheim 0:2
    02.11.2024 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 1:0
    30.10.2024 Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Chelsea
    23.11.2024 Leicester City - Chelsea 1:2
    10.11.2024 Chelsea - Arsenal 1:1
    07.11.2024 Chelsea - Noah Yerevan 8:0
    30.10.2024 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield
    5TNSDifferdange
    6LevadiaIberia 1999
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes
    8Din. MinskEgnatia
    9DecicSK Rapid
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    11AktobeSparta Prague
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar
    14VaduzDungannon
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik
    18KosiceNeman
    19Riga FCDila Gori
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik
    22HB TorshavnBrondby
    23ZiraHajduk Split
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana
    27VardarLausanne
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    29LarnePrishtina
    30VarazdinSanta Clara
    31ArisPuskas Academy
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva
    33VikingKoper
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    35ArazAris
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi
    37FC BallkaniFloriana
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers
    39RakowZilina
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa
    41AIKPaide
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    44HiberniansTrnava
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma
    46PaksMaribor
    48PetrocubSabah Baku
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia
    51OleksandriyaPartizan
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri
    55RosenborgBanga
    56HammarbyCharleroi
    57St. PatricksKalju
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur
    60ArdaHJK

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60
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