Result
5:2
26/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.69 | 1.56 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (5/30) | 14.29% (2/14) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (12/14) | 86.21% (25/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.67 | 48.33 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:08, Jurgens C. (2 min),
- 03:50, 1 - 0, Wright C. (G), Kiiskinen J. (A), Eronen E. (A2)
- 05:21, Vilen E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 05:14, 2 - 0, Paivarinta S. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Alitalo V. (A2)
- 06:11, (2 min),
- 18:59, Teutari E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (3 - 2)
- 04:43, Forsberg C. (2 min),
- 11:30, 3 - 0, Wright C. (G), Jokirinne V. (A), Vesalainen K. (A2)
- 13:12, Wright C. (Penalty Shot),
- 13:12, Teutari E. (2 min),
- 13:31, Wright C. (2 min),
- 15:17, 3 - 1, Ciernik A. (G), Vilen E. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
- 15:29, 4 - 1, Andzans A. (G), Vesterinen R. (A),
- 16:03, 4 - 2, Johannesen J. (G), Vilen E. (A),
- 18:36, 5 - 2, Rautiainen T. (G),
Chances of winning
HPK
53.7% | Draw
22.7% | Pelicans
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK's performance.Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
HPK - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.91) |
4.3 ↑
(3.72) |
4.22 ↑
(3.47) |
3.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for HPK - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 4.
- HPK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pelicans is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- HPK could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 39:54. (average 2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 2.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Pelicans?
HPK has won 6 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against HPK?
Pelicans has won 12 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Pelicans were as follows:
01.02.2025
HPK
-
Pelicans
4:1
31.01.2025
Pelicans
-
HPK
1:3
14.12.2024
Pelicans
-
HPK
2:3
15.11.2024
HPK
-
Pelicans
5:2
18.10.2024
Pelicans
-
HPK
4:0
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35:19 | 21 |
| 2 | JYP | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 40:28 | 21 |
| 3 | Kiekko-Espoo | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 32:29 | 21 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 41:40 | 19 |
| 5 | Tappara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35:24 | 18 |
| 6 | Lukko | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31:30 | 17 |
| 7 | Jukurit | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27:31 | 17 |
| 8 | SaiPa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 38:31 | 17 |
| 9 | Karpat | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39:35 | 16 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21:20 | 16 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26:28 | 16 |
| 12 | KalPa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26:32 | 10 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 21:34 | 10 |
| 15 | Ilves | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27:39 | 9 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19:37 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
Which TV channels are streaming of HPK - Pelicans?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
