Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United
Result
1:0
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.64
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
82% (325/395)84% (417/496)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.71
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
109
Passes
82% (325/395)84% (417/496)
Long passes
39% (27/69)53% (33/62)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)69% (81/117)
Crosses
15% (2/13)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.67
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
910
Tackles
71% (12/17)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4542
Clearances
3212
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.711.33
Goals prevented
0.710.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Gale T. , Taylor R. (A),
  • 45+2', Gale T. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Christie C. , Dacres-Cogley J. ,
  • 52', Kaleta M. 🟨,
  • 61', Dalby S. , Randall J. ,
  • 61', Forss M. , Erhahon E. ,
  • 62', Gore D. , McWilliams S. ,
  • 62', Baptiste J. , Powell J. ,
  • 63', Holmes J. , Richardson K. ,
  • 79', Simons X. , Sharples-Ahmed S. ,
  • 79', Smith O. , Warren C. ,
  • 86', Taylor R. 🟨,
  • 88', Clarke J. , Ayres J. ,
  • 90+3', Jules Z. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
63.9%
Draw
21%
Rotherham United
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 24.4% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 20.2% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotherham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.57)
    4.37
    (3.75)
    6.03
    (5.24)
    8.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 87.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 0.
    • Bolton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rotherham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rotherham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1.2:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 0:1
    11.01.2025 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Salford220005:16
    2Stockport County210016:63
    3Wolves U21210015:63
    4Wigan200021:40


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tranmere211004:35
    2Blackpool110005:03
    3Nottingham U21100102:21
    4Barrow200021:70


    Group 3
    PlWWLLPts
    1Doncaster220005:16
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Everton U21100011:20
    4Grimsby200021:50


    Group 4
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lincoln220006:06
    2Notts Co210012:43
    3Barnsley100011:20
    4Manchester Utd U21100010:30


    Group 5
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
    3Rotherham210013:33
    4Oldham200023:80


    Group 6
    PlWWLLPts
    1Harrogate220002:06
    2Huddersfield210016:33
    3Mansfield100010:10
    4Newcastle Utd U21100012:60


    Group 7
    PlWWLLPts
    1Port Vale220006:16
    2Fleetwood211006:25
    3Accrington200112:41
    4Leeds U21200021:80


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton210012:13
    3Chesterfield210012:73
    4Liverpool U21100010:20


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Arsenal U21110002:13
    2Newport210012:23
    3Cardiff210011:13
    4Exeter100010:10


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth220008:26
    2Bristol Rovers211005:45
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham200020:30


    Group 11
    PlWWLLPts
    1Northampton220004:06
    2Walsall210013:23
    3Shrewsbury210014:43
    4Chelsea U21200021:60


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1Reading320016:46
    2West Ham U21210016:43
    3Swindon110003:23
    4MK Dons200021:60


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage220007:26
    2AFC Wimbledon210014:63
    3Bromley201014:52
    4Crystal Palace U21200114:61


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
    1Leyton Orient220005:26
    2Crawley210015:43
    3Peterborough210015:53
    4Aston Villa U21200024:80


    Group 15
    PlWWLLPts
    1Colchester220004:26
    2Gillingham210015:33
    3Wycombe210014:33
    4Fulham U21200022:70


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Cambridge Utd110003:13
    2Luton210015:43
    3Barnet201012:52
    4Brighton U21100101:11

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